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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 12, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Anaheim Ducks 2, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 80% of the time.

CAR winsANA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ANA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kesler–Beleskey–PalmieriCogliano–Silfverberg–RakellGetzlaf–Perry–MaroonJackman–Thompson–Smith-PellyGetzlaf–Silfverberg–Smith-PellyPerry–Cogliano–RakellJackman–Thompson–MaroonGetzlaf–Maroon–SilfverbergGetzlaf–Kesler–Smith-PellyThompson–Cogliano–Smith-PellyBeauchemin–LindholmLovejoy–FowlerStoner–VatanenFowler–Lindholm
Staal–Tlusty–Staal2:250.07–0.031:050.05–0.006:320.52–0.050:580.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:160.00–0.000:300.19–0.006:380.22–0.084:520.40–0.001:400.00–0.000:480.25–0.00
Skinner–Rask–Lindholm5:330.09–0.501:230.09–0.001:260.04–0.006:320.71–0.411:140.04–0.002:450.00–0.09
Semin–Gerbe–Nestrasil2:200.00–0.002:340.26–0.002:050.09–0.010:400.00–0.000:550.00–0.005:180.25–0.003:040.16–0.01
McClement–Dwyer–Malone2:260.00–0.004:190.17–0.141:050.00–0.000:450.00–0.003:310.16–0.074:490.01–0.09
Staal–Staal–Skinner0:300.04–0.000:570.08–0.001:000.08–0.00
Sekera–Faulk3:070.06–0.031:420.19–0.006:500.52–0.051:320.01–0.092:110.09–0.130:340.19–0.000:570.08–0.006:240.52–0.087:250.58–0.014:200.01–0.150:400.25–0.00
Liles–Gleason4:260.06–0.193:020.17–0.001:420.16–0.051:030.00–0.000:380.00–0.004:190.06–0.084:060.26–0.064:150.03–0.050:350.04–0.00
Hainsey–Bellemore3:550.07–0.191:500.00–0.001:530.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:560.04–0.000:560.00–0.004:410.14–0.143:430.00–0.003:170.00–0.05
Hainsey–Liles0:330.00–0.010:340.21–0.001:050.13–0.00
Hainsey–Faulk0:400.00–0.190:590.00–0.19
Liles–Faulk0:430.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Sekera–Bellemore0:530.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Liles–Sekera0:440.33–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcClement FMalone FDwyer FStaal FStaal FTlusty FGerbe FLindholm FRask FSkinner FNestrasil FSemin FHainsey DBellemore DSekera DFaulk DGleason DLiles DWard GCogliano FSilfverberg FRakell FPerry FGetzlaf FMaroon FPalmieri FBeleskey FKesler FSmith-Pelly FJackman FThompson FFowler DLovejoy DStoner DVatanen DBeauchemin DLindholm DGibson G
CARANAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR3026:450:542:0571
Andrej SekeraCAR3024:440:493:1271
Eric StaalCAR2621:350:501:5682
Francois BeaucheminANA2521:160:511:5422
Hampus LindholmANA2521:120:511:5422
Cam FowlerANA2520:310:492:1626
Jordan StaalCAR2519:270:471:4582
John-Michael LilesCAR2519:230:471:1332
Ben LovejoyANA2519:190:461:1515
Sami VatanenANA2419:130:481:1803
Jiri TlustyCAR2419:020:481:3162
Ryan GetzlafANA2118:470:541:1908
Clayton StonerANA2618:290:431:2603
Ryan KeslerANA2318:190:481:4925
Ron HainseyCAR2817:440:381:1831
Victor RaskCAR2317:420:462:0650
Jeff SkinnerCAR2216:530:461:4540
Jakob SilfverbergANA2216:300:451:1800
Andrew CoglianoANA2116:280:471:2200
Elias LindholmCAR2215:190:422:0650
Corey PerryANA2015:010:451:1504
Matt BeleskeyANA1914:530:471:1611
Tim GleasonCAR2114:390:421:1312
Rickard RakellANA1814:370:491:3911
Kyle PalmieriANA1914:130:451:1621
Devante Smith-PellyANA1913:580:441:0723
Brett BellemoreCAR2013:550:421:1811
Alexander SeminCAR2113:200:381:0950
Patrick MaroonANA1512:430:511:1714
Andrej NestrasilCAR1912:230:391:0930
Patrick DwyerCAR1612:220:461:0601
Nate ThompsonANA2112:220:351:0324
Nathan GerbeCAR1812:000:401:0730
Jay McClementCAR1611:470:441:0602
Brad MaloneCAR1410:360:451:1500
Tim JackmanANA119:050:501:0330