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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 6, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Minnesota Wild 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 81% of the time.

CAR winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergenheim–Schroeder–CoylePominville–Parise–GranlundKoivu–Stewart–NiederreiterBrodziak–Haula–FontaineKoivu–Parise–BrodziakSuter–BrodinLeopold–FolinProsser–Dumba
Staal–Staal–Lindholm2:350.07–0.001:440.03–0.000:450.05–0.003:050.27–0.003:510.22–0.001:060.04–0.003:590.27–0.00
Semin–Nash–Skinner2:310.20–0.051:060.00–0.002:130.36–0.001:350.00–0.033:570.32–0.063:530.21–0.02
Gerbe–Nestrasil–Rask2:080.00–0.030:330.03–0.003:130.02–0.131:010.02–0.000:420.00–0.003:330.02–0.010:470.00–0.093:280.05–0.04
McClement–Dwyer–Terry1:110.00–0.003:390.14–0.161:250.00–0.020:440.00–0.003:590.09–0.022:500.00–0.16
Staal–Staal–Nestrasil1:480.69–0.000:330.00–0.002:040.00–0.013:570.69–0.01
Semin–Gerbe–Rask0:440.00–0.000:510.00–0.010:350.00–0.000:500.00–0.002:120.00–0.010:350.00–0.00
Nash–Skinner–Lindholm1:090.00–0.050:480.06–0.001:210.02–0.000:420.03–0.011:080.00–0.06
McClement–Staal–Lindholm0:370.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Hillen–Faulk1:170.09–0.006:050.20–0.104:110.23–0.101:180.09–0.006:140.39–0.003:400.07–0.093:080.03–0.11
Liles–Rissanen5:180.18–0.130:540.11–0.040:300.01–0.003:420.19–0.002:490.17–0.033:370.18–0.035:060.19–0.11
Hainsey–Bellemore2:290.00–0.003:380.22–0.032:500.10–0.035:240.21–0.052:340.05–0.001:480.10–0.00
Hainsey–Faulk0:590.00–0.001:420.65–0.000:510.00–0.040:310.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:510.63–0.001:300.03–0.001:420.00–0.04
Bellemore–Hillen1:000.00–0.021:170.00–0.040:350.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:070.00–0.041:320.00–0.02
Hillen–Rissanen1:350.00–0.061:070.00–0.012:080.00–0.01
Hainsey–Liles0:460.00–0.010:430.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGerbe FSemin FRask FStaal FStaal FNestrasil FSkinner FLindholm FNash FMcClement FTerry FDwyer FHillen DBellemore DFaulk DHainsey DLiles DRissanen DKhudobin GKoivu FNiederreiter FStewart FParise FGranlund FPominville FBergenheim FCoyle FSchroeder FHaula FFontaine FBrodziak FSuter DBrodin DProsser DDumba DFolin DLeopold DDubnyk G
CARMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterMIN2825:590:561:5532
Justin FaulkCAR3124:350:481:5634
Jonas BrodinMIN2823:460:511:5531
Ron HainseyCAR3021:080:421:3855
Jack HillenCAR2621:020:491:1741
Mathew DumbaMIN2418:420:471:2718
Mikko KoivuMIN2418:270:461:2275
Eric StaalCAR2318:010:471:1573
Jordan StaalCAR2317:510:471:1574
John-Michael LilesCAR2417:290:441:2983
Zach PariseMIN2117:240:502:1712
Nate ProsserMIN2317:210:451:3017
Riley NashCAR2116:520:481:2361
Mikael GranlundMIN2416:500:421:4113
Christian FolinMIN1916:230:521:2525
Elias LindholmCAR2216:210:451:1573
Jeff SkinnerCAR2016:160:491:4151
Alexander SeminCAR1916:060:511:2951
Rasmus RissanenCAR2116:010:461:2973
Brett BellemoreCAR2315:510:411:1843
Jason PominvilleMIN2015:480:472:1713
Andrej NestrasilCAR2015:190:461:1533
Jordan LeopoldMIN1815:110:511:2325
Chris StewartMIN1914:550:471:3171
Victor RaskCAR2014:520:451:0931
Nathan GerbeCAR1814:310:481:0941
Charlie CoyleMIN1814:230:481:3714
Nino NiederreiterMIN2014:170:431:1553
Kyle BrodziakMIN1914:120:451:1616
Sean BergenheimMIN1613:380:511:3112
Erik HaulaMIN1713:380:481:2213
Jordan SchroederMIN1513:150:531:5212
Jay McClementCAR1912:530:411:3333
Patrick DwyerCAR1712:110:431:2234
Justin FontaineMIN1511:510:471:1612
Chris TerryCAR138:590:411:0232