Sat, Jan 2, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
St. Louis Blues 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
10%
36%
TOR winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 27:10 | 0.22 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:47 | 0.13 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:25 | 0.08 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:58 | 0.08 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:20 | 0.12 | 53.2% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.31 | 48.9% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.35 | 62.2% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.02 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0.07 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.19 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.04 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:09 | 0.33 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.22 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.04 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.03 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:44 | 0.06 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:41 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:24 | 0.10 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 1.85 | −1.2 | 58:01 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:00 | 0.06 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.01 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:23 | 0.42 | 62.1% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.02 | 55.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.42 | 65.7% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.05 | 26.8% | +23.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18:57 | 0.22 | 29.4% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.04 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:12 | 0.77 | 57.1% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.24 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.02 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.04 | 24.6% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.01 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.02 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:54 | 0.18 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:18 | 0.01 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:21 | 0.03 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 39 | 1 | .975 | 2.39 | +1.4 | 60:00 |