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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 1, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Edmonton Oilers 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 77% of the time.

BUF winsEDM wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kassian–Hall–DraisaitlEberle–Yakupov–McDavidHendricks–Cracknell–LanderKorpikoski–Letestu–PakarinenPardy–DavidsonSekera–FayneClendening–NurseSekera–ClendeningPardy–NursePardy–Fayne
Kane–Reinhart–Eichel7:220.18–0.073:090.03–0.142:060.03–0.092:360.10–0.013:320.06–0.038:300.10–0.092:040.16–0.001:020.01–0.07
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson1:090.00–0.005:200.01–0.371:560.00–0.025:360.01–0.141:010.00–0.232:490.00–0.030:500.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Catenacci–Girgensons3:520.08–0.111:310.00–0.341:240.01–0.002:110.02–0.012:430.45–0.010:360.03–0.004:120.03–0.231:250.01–0.14
O'Reilly–Deslauriers–Girgensons1:280.00–0.040:440.00–0.031:410.00–0.211:330.00–0.04
Legwand–Moulson–Deslauriers2:130.01–0.090:390.08–0.000:520.00–0.000:390.08–0.001:510.00–0.09
Legwand–Moulson–Catenacci1:180.01–0.040:340.00–0.00
Bogosian–McCabe6:360.04–0.075:160.15–0.353:500.03–0.150:560.05–0.005:180.42–0.126:070.10–0.314:540.15–0.050:320.01–0.06
Gorges–Ristolainen5:060.19–0.115:240.07–0.071:330.06–0.002:240.12–0.026:320.13–0.095:150.11–0.083:150.16–0.020:450.01–0.01
Colaiacovo–Pysyk0:570.03–0.002:100.00–0.343:590.01–0.125:050.02–0.033:490.11–0.202:240.03–0.015:120.02–0.281:340.00–0.14
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndGionta FLarsson FFoligno FKane FEichel FReinhart FO'Reilly FGirgensons FCatenacci FLegwand FMoulson FDeslauriers FMcCabe DBogosian DGorges DRistolainen DColaiacovo DPysyk DLehner GYakupov FEberle FMcDavid FHall FDraisaitl FKassian FPakarinen FKorpikoski FLetestu FCracknell FHendricks FLander FSekera DFayne DPardy DDavidson DNurse DClendening DTalbot G
BUFEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh GorgesBUF3024:240:492:1067
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3124:030:472:1466
Zach BogosianBUF2923:190:481:2854
Andrej SekeraEDM3123:060:452:2252
Connor McDavidEDM2522:230:541:5843
Evander KaneBUF2522:110:531:3524
Brandon DavidsonEDM2922:020:461:1426
Taylor HallEDM2321:160:551:5873
Jake McCabeBUF2521:070:511:5833
Jack EichelBUF2420:430:521:3934
Adam ClendeningEDM2420:340:511:4822
Sam ReinhartBUF2420:310:511:3533
Leon DraisaitlEDM2320:200:531:5573
Jordan EberleEDM2120:100:583:0532
Adam PardyEDM2520:060:481:2114
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2018:570:572:2211
Darnell NurseEDM2518:000:431:5924
Mark FayneEDM2617:300:401:0232
Mark PysykBUF2016:580:512:4731
Nail YakupovEDM2116:500:481:3103
Zack KassianEDM2116:370:471:1442
Cal O'ReillyBUF1616:291:022:2210
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF1815:060:502:4732
Brian GiontaBUF2314:370:381:0143
Marcus FolignoBUF2214:200:391:0642
Daniel CatenacciBUF1313:191:012:2210
Mark LetestuEDM2013:060:391:1515
Johan LarssonBUF1913:010:411:0643
Matt HendricksEDM1812:480:431:1233
Adam CracknellEDM1712:100:431:1423
Anton LanderEDM1912:050:381:1433
Lauri KorpikoskiEDM1711:310:411:0513
Iiro PakarinenEDM1711:040:391:0213
David LegwandBUF1510:570:441:5835
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1310:430:491:3432
Matt MoulsonBUF116:530:381:0242