Sat, Mar 5, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
58%
8%
26%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29:20 | 0.11 | 59.8% | 0.0 |
 Dion PhaneufD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:55 | 0.12 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.33 | 52.1% | +43.1 |
 Marc MethotD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:25 | 0.16 | 69.8% | +28.7 |
 Cody CeciD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.03 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Mika ZibanejadC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.14 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.31 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.36 | 61.8% | +43.1 |
 Patrick WierciochD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.05 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan DzingelC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.03 | 40.7% | +28.7 |
 Bobby RyanRW · #6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.21 | 62.0% | +19.9 |
 Chris WidemanD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.05 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Alex ChiassonRW · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.14 | 33.4% | +28.7 |
 Scott GomezC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.18 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Curtis LazarC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.02 | 12.6% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.23 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Mike HoffmanC · #68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.05 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Chris NeilRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
 Andrew Hammond#30 | W | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 3.46 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:01 | 0.08 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:55 | 0.13 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.12 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:40 | 0.21 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.03 | 72.5% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 19:01 | 0.30 | 58.8% | +20.8 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.42 | 60.8% | 0.0 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:42 | 0.34 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:43 | 0.30 | 39.8% | +20.3 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.04 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Brooks LaichC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:27 | 0.81 | 56.3% | +20.3 |
 Ben SmithRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.10 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 Colin GreeningC · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.18 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.02 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
 Frank CorradoD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.06 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.17 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Brendan LeipsicLW · #49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 11:35 | 0.16 | 31.8% | +20.8 |
 Jonathan Bernier#45 | L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.52 | −0.5 | 57:53 |