Sat, Mar 12, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.
17%
9%
10%
64%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:39 | 0.16 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.04 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.03 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.10 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.10 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.27 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.09 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.41 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.05 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.00 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:06 | 0.30 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.01 | 90.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.21 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.35 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:53 | 0.07 | 84.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.11 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.20 | 78.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 13 | 4 | .765 | 1.36 | −2.6 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 26:21 | 0.08 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:22 | 0.03 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:20 | 0.02 | 30.2% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.14 | 42.9% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.18 | 30.9% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.15 | 66.3% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.07 | 61.8% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.33 | 51.9% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.07 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.01 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.04 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.03 | 50.7% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.01 | 4.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.06 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.12 | 16.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 29 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.52 | +2.5 | 59:52 |