Sat, Mar 12, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.
17%
9%
10%
64%
OTT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Parenteau–Hyman–Nylander | Komarov–Kadri–Soshnikov | Michalek–Grabner–Smith | Laich–Greening–Holland | Laich–Grabner–Smith | Gardiner–Corrado | Marincin–Rielly | Rielly–Carrick | Marincin–Valiev | Corrado–Valiev | Gardiner–Carrick | Gardiner–Marincin | Carrick–Valiev | Marincin–Carrick | Corrado–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil–Paul–Lazar | 2:350.02–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 2:070.05–0.09 | 3:350.02–0.04 | 1:380.00–0.06 | 0:370.05–0.00 | 2:060.02–0.02 | 1:510.02–0.02 | 3:230.02–0.01 | ||||||
| Smith–Stone–Pageau | 0:510.00–0.10 | 6:160.54–0.16 | 0:340.09–0.00 | 0:540.02–0.03 | 1:160.20–0.03 | 2:010.24–0.12 | 2:100.01–0.06 | 1:520.13–0.03 | 1:490.09–0.00 | ||||||
| Hoffman–Chiasson–Zibanejad | 3:180.14–0.16 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:180.05–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.10 | 1:540.00–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.05 | |||||||
| Gomez–Ryan–Dzingel | 2:280.01–0.08 | 1:230.00–0.33 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 1:370.00–0.33 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.06 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Gomez–Ryan–Hoffman | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Chiasson–Dzingel–Zibanejad | 0:440.00–0.24 | 0:440.00–0.24 | |||||||||||||
| Ryan–Hoffman–Zibanejad | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Methot–Karlsson | 3:280.14–0.15 | 6:350.25–0.11 | 3:140.05–0.31 | 1:140.02–0.24 | 0:430.01–0.26 | 2:220.00–0.31 | 4:180.30–0.08 | 2:320.02–0.28 | 1:550.00–0.36 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:450.02–0.03 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.05 | ||
| Phaneuf–Ceci | 2:360.02–0.10 | 2:050.12–0.02 | 3:520.02–0.09 | 2:120.01–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.06 | 1:270.00–0.10 | 1:350.02–0.02 | 2:000.02–0.02 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 2:290.12–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||
| Kostka–Wideman | 3:530.01–0.09 | 1:110.20–0.08 | 1:180.00–0.02 | 3:470.07–0.07 | 2:180.20–0.04 | 1:030.00–0.10 | 2:140.04–0.08 | 1:310.00–0.02 | 1:080.04–0.01 | 1:020.00–0.01 | |||||
| Kostka–Karlsson | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 26:21 | 0:59 | 1:30 | 3 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 30 | 23:39 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 6 | 5 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 28 | 22:22 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 3 | 7 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 25 | 22:20 | 0:54 | 1:20 | 1 | 4 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 30 | 21:15 | 0:43 | 2:07 | 4 | 6 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 28 | 20:22 | 0:44 | 2:26 | 8 | 4 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 26 | 19:16 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 3 | 8 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 28 | 17:31 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 6 | 6 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 26 | 17:30 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 4 | 7 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 26 | 17:10 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 5 | 4 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 24 | 17:09 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 5 | 3 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 26 | 17:02 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 2 | 5 |
 PA ParenteauTOR | 23 | 17:02 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 11 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 23 | 17:00 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 11 | 1 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 24 | 16:40 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 6 | 3 |
 Frank CorradoTOR | 23 | 16:35 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 5 | 4 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 20 | 16:18 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 3 | 4 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 24 | 16:15 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 7 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 25 | 15:29 | 0:37 | 1:21 | 6 | 3 |
 Colin GreeningTOR | 21 | 15:20 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Michael GrabnerTOR | 22 | 15:06 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 0 | 6 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 19 | 14:39 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 0 | 1 |
 Rinat ValievTOR | 20 | 14:23 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 4 | 2 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 21 | 14:19 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 6 | 0 |
 Michael KostkaOTT | 17 | 14:18 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 0 | 2 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 25 | 13:56 | 0:33 | 1:12 | 0 | 8 |
 Brooks LaichTOR | 23 | 13:53 | 0:36 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 23 | 13:30 | 0:35 | 1:12 | 5 | 2 |
 Milan MichalekTOR | 19 | 13:30 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 19 | 13:26 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 18 | 13:23 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 21 | 12:58 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 6 | 2 |
 Alex ChiassonOTT | 23 | 12:46 | 0:33 | 1:11 | 5 | 5 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 18 | 12:30 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Scott GomezOTT | 15 | 10:05 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 16 | 8:50 | 0:33 | 0:59 | 2 | 1 |