Sat, Oct 22, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.
32%
10%
9%
50%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:51 | 0.09 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.05 | 71.4% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.01 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:04 | 0.07 | 28.1% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:52 | 0.38 | 66.0% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.19 | 28.6% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.53 | 67.9% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.02 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.02 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:12 | 0.11 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.29 | 59.9% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.35 | 75.7% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:40 | 0.15 | 64.5% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.20 | 64.5% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:57 | 0.06 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:33 | 0.01 | 7.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:08 | 0.00 | 80.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.09 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:33 | 0.04 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:05 | 0.09 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:56 | 0.05 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:49 | 0.01 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.00 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.07 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.15 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.11 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.04 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.09 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.22 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.62 | 85.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:56 | 0.05 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.28 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:29 | 0.28 | 77.7% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:48 | 0.00 | 2.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 2.55 | −1.4 | 60:00 |