Thu, Nov 17, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
36%
11%
9%
44%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:59 | 0.07 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.10 | 74.6% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.02 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.07 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.09 | 45.4% | +31.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.14 | 47.5% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.11 | 48.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.07 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.03 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.31 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:15 | 0.08 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:00 | 0.22 | 62.6% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 12:08 | 0.59 | 58.5% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.12 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:28 | 0.31 | 53.1% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:52 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.10 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29:53 | 0.33 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.09 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:55 | 0.06 | 58.3% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.02 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.07 | 71.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:09 | 0.58 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 17:46 | 0.45 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.10 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.07 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:30 | 0.22 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.01 | 52.3% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:57 | 0.06 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.02 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:51 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:23 | 0.02 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 2.34 | −1.7 | 59:49 |