Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 17, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Kucherov–NamestnikovFilppula–Callahan–DrouinKillorn–Johnson–PointBoyle–Brown–PaquetteBoyle–Brown–PointBoyle–Brown–DrouinBoyle–Kucherov–BrownHedman–SustrGarrison–NesterovCoburn–KoekkoekCoburn–NesterovNesterov–Sustr
Okposo–Kane–Reinhart1:290.35–0.002:400.06–0.092:390.02–0.041:280.11–0.075:460.56–0.081:000.00–0.091:000.00–0.00
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson4:110.05–0.052:050.27–0.020:370.08–0.001:040.00–0.001:240.21–0.004:380.14–0.052:390.06–0.12
Moulson–Girgensons–Rodrigues1:280.00–0.174:160.01–0.141:240.07–0.001:060.00–0.023:530.00–0.28
Grant–Carrier–Baptiste0:370.00–0.131:120.02–0.000:480.00–0.001:150.02–0.132:010.00–0.13
Foligno–Girgensons–Baptiste1:200.00–0.010:570.00–0.000:390.00–0.010:300.00–0.00
Grant–Carrier–Rodrigues0:390.00–0.120:410.00–0.000:380.00–0.09
Moulson–Girgensons–Carrier0:450.00–0.001:110.00–0.02
Gionta–Kane–Larsson
Gorges–Ristolainen5:120.05–0.021:530.00–0.104:170.27–0.280:570.02–0.000:300.00–0.005:210.29–0.135:010.06–0.173:100.05–0.120:370.00–0.00
Franson–McCabe4:040.36–0.213:010.23–0.042:050.00–0.051:070.11–0.034:060.50–0.102:460.01–0.164:150.23–0.211:060.00–0.03
Falk–Fedun3:500.15–0.111:440.10–0.001:170.00–0.002:470.09–0.003:050.08–0.121:510.09–0.13
McCabe–Ristolainen1:030.00–0.04
Gorges–Franson0:460.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Franson–Ristolainen0:550.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKane FOkposo FReinhart FGionta FLarsson FFoligno FGirgensons FRodrigues FMoulson FGrant FCarrier FBaptiste FFranson DMcCabe DGorges DRistolainen DFalk DFedun DLehner GBoyle FPaquette FBrown FJohnson FKillorn FPoint FDrouin FCallahan FFilppula FPalat FKucherov FNamestnikov FSustr DHedman DGarrison DNesterov DKoekkoek DCoburn DBishop G
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2829:531:042:0765
Victor HedmanTBL2623:590:551:3538
Jake McCabeBUF2723:580:532:2043
Cody FransonBUF2921:550:451:2243
Braydon CoburnTBL2520:090:481:3913
Josh GorgesBUF2219:210:531:4544
Nikita NesterovTBL2018:590:571:4623
Evander KaneBUF2718:290:411:1353
Andrej SustrTBL2718:290:411:4708
Sam ReinhartBUF2118:090:522:0352
Jason GarrisonTBL2718:000:401:1228
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2117:560:511:4727
Kyle OkposoBUF2217:460:481:5852
Nikita KucherovTBL2317:350:461:3552
Jonathan DrouinTBL1917:320:551:3522
Ondrej PalatTBL2017:130:521:4450
Johan LarssonBUF2117:110:491:2726
Ryan CallahanTBL2116:550:481:2104
Marcus FolignoBUF1916:450:531:3114
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1916:410:531:1750
Brian GiontaBUF2016:330:501:3234
Slater KoekkoekTBL2216:150:441:2121
Matt MoulsonBUF1515:301:022:1962
Tyler JohnsonTBL2115:000:431:1538
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2014:430:441:0632
Brian BoyleTBL2014:050:421:1414
Taylor FedunBUF2114:020:401:0560
Alex KillornTBL1712:080:431:0443
Evan RodriguesBUF1611:570:451:0722
JT BrownTBL1911:540:380:5604
Brayden PointTBL1711:280:401:0144
Derek GrantBUF1510:540:441:0533
Justin FalkBUF1810:510:361:0250
William CarrierBUF129:160:461:5042
Nick BaptisteBUF138:230:391:0270
Cedric PaquetteTBL105:520:350:4902