Thu, Nov 17, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
36%
11%
9%
44%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Palat–Kucherov–Namestnikov | Filppula–Callahan–Drouin | Killorn–Johnson–Point | Boyle–Brown–Paquette | Boyle–Brown–Point | Boyle–Brown–Drouin | Boyle–Kucherov–Brown | Hedman–Sustr | Garrison–Nesterov | Coburn–Koekkoek | Coburn–Nesterov | Nesterov–Sustr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Kane–Reinhart | 1:290.35–0.00 | 2:400.06–0.09 | 2:390.02–0.04 | 1:280.11–0.07 | 5:460.56–0.08 | 1:000.00–0.09 | 1:000.00–0.00 | |||||
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | 4:110.05–0.05 | 2:050.27–0.02 | 0:370.08–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:240.21–0.00 | 4:380.14–0.05 | 2:390.06–0.12 | |||||
| Moulson–Girgensons–Rodrigues | 1:280.00–0.17 | 4:160.01–0.14 | 1:240.07–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.02 | 3:530.00–0.28 | |||||||
| Grant–Carrier–Baptiste | 0:370.00–0.13 | 1:120.02–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:150.02–0.13 | 2:010.00–0.13 | |||||||
| Foligno–Girgensons–Baptiste | 1:200.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Grant–Carrier–Rodrigues | 0:390.00–0.12 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.09 | |||||||||
| Moulson–Girgensons–Carrier | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Gionta–Kane–Larsson | ||||||||||||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 5:120.05–0.02 | 1:530.00–0.10 | 4:170.27–0.28 | 0:570.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 5:210.29–0.13 | 5:010.06–0.17 | 3:100.05–0.12 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||
| Franson–McCabe | 4:040.36–0.21 | 3:010.23–0.04 | 2:050.00–0.05 | 1:070.11–0.03 | 4:060.50–0.10 | 2:460.01–0.16 | 4:150.23–0.21 | 1:060.00–0.03 | ||||
| Falk–Fedun | 3:500.15–0.11 | 1:440.10–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 2:470.09–0.00 | 3:050.08–0.12 | 1:510.09–0.13 | ||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 1:030.00–0.04 | |||||||||||
| Gorges–Franson | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Franson–Ristolainen | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 28 | 29:53 | 1:04 | 2:07 | 6 | 5 | |
| 26 | 23:59 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 3 | 8 | |
| 27 | 23:58 | 0:53 | 2:20 | 4 | 3 | |
| 29 | 21:55 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 4 | 3 | |
| 25 | 20:09 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 1 | 3 | |
| 22 | 19:21 | 0:53 | 1:45 | 4 | 4 | |
| 20 | 18:59 | 0:57 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 | |
| 27 | 18:29 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 5 | 3 | |
| 27 | 18:29 | 0:41 | 1:47 | 0 | 8 | |
| 21 | 18:09 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 5 | 2 | |
| 27 | 18:00 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 2 | 8 | |
| 21 | 17:56 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 2 | 7 | |
| 22 | 17:46 | 0:48 | 1:58 | 5 | 2 | |
| 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 5 | 2 | |
| 19 | 17:32 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 | |
| 20 | 17:13 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 5 | 0 | |
| 21 | 17:11 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 2 | 6 | |
| 21 | 16:55 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 0 | 4 | |
| 19 | 16:45 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 1 | 4 | |
| 19 | 16:41 | 0:53 | 1:17 | 5 | 0 | |
| 20 | 16:33 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 3 | 4 | |
| 22 | 16:15 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 | |
| 15 | 15:30 | 1:02 | 2:19 | 6 | 2 | |
| 21 | 15:00 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 3 | 8 | |
| 20 | 14:43 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 14:05 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 1 | 4 | |
| 21 | 14:02 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 6 | 0 | |
| 17 | 12:08 | 0:43 | 1:04 | 4 | 3 | |
| 16 | 11:57 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 | |
| 19 | 11:54 | 0:38 | 0:56 | 0 | 4 | |
| 17 | 11:28 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 4 | 4 | |
| 15 | 10:54 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 3 | 3 | |
| 18 | 10:51 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 5 | 0 | |
| 12 | 9:16 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 4 | 2 | |
| 13 | 8:23 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 7 | 0 | |
| 10 | 5:52 | 0:35 | 0:49 | 0 | 2 |