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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 4, 2017·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Colorado Avalanche 1, Calgary Flames 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 90% of the time.

CGY winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Iginla–Duchene–RantanenBourque–Landeskog–MacKinnonComeau–Soderberg–GrigorenkoMitchell–McLeod–ColborneMitchell–Soderberg–ColborneLandeskog–MacKinnon–RantanenComeau–Landeskog–MacKinnonMitchell–Soderberg–BourqueBourque–Duchene–GrigorenkoBourque–Duchene–RantanenIginla–MacKinnon–RantanenTyutin–BarrieWiercioch–ZadorovBeauchemin–GoloubefBarrie–ZadorovGoloubef–WierciochBeauchemin–BarrieTyutin–WierciochBeauchemin–TyutinTyutin–GoloubefBeauchemin–WierciochTyutin–Zadorov
Chiasson–Gaudreau–Monahan3:320.10–0.151:500.01–0.021:100.03–0.003:250.30–0.003:070.05–0.151:180.00–0.060:440.00–0.060:410.00–0.02
Stajan–Bouma–Hamilton2:060.07–0.060:360.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:430.05–0.001:030.06–0.030:480.00–0.001:400.00–0.091:010.03–0.000:550.06–0.031:080.04–0.000:420.00–0.000:580.05–0.00
Frolik–Backlund–Tkachuk4:110.08–0.040:400.00–0.000:480.01–0.003:130.07–0.012:240.03–0.000:500.01–0.020:410.00–0.00
Versteeg–Ferland–Bennett1:120.00–0.000:520.00–0.021:550.09–0.001:000.00–0.001:200.07–0.001:000.00–0.000:530.02–0.001:310.00–0.000:510.12–0.020:480.00–0.00
Ferland–Gaudreau–Bennett0:300.00–0.00
Ferland–Gaudreau–Monahan0:400.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Bouma–Ferland–Bennett0:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Wideman–Brodie4:050.13–0.061:590.01–0.021:110.02–0.050:300.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:090.00–0.004:110.29–0.011:380.02–0.102:280.02–0.062:440.03–0.000:530.02–0.050:410.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Giordano–Hamilton1:450.11–0.093:470.06–0.021:240.00–0.110:590.00–0.000:570.00–0.001:100.03–0.001:000.01–0.003:090.05–0.004:490.05–0.092:260.01–0.110:390.00–0.041:120.00–0.020:330.00–0.00
Engelland–Wotherspoon1:510.04–0.060:490.00–0.023:110.11–0.051:570.00–0.041:070.12–0.000:360.00–0.002:240.11–0.002:070.00–0.041:520.00–0.050:580.00–0.001:290.12–0.021:580.04–0.000:330.00–0.00
Engelland–Giordano0:450.06–0.030:450.06–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGaudreau FMonahan FChiasson FFrolik FBacklund FTkachuk FVersteeg FFerland FBennett FBouma FStajan FHamilton FWideman DBrodie DGiordano DHamilton DWotherspoon DEngelland DElliott GIginla FMacKinnon FLandeskog FDuchene FBourque FRantanen FComeau FGrigorenko FSoderberg FMcLeod FColborne FMitchell FBarrie DTyutin DZadorov DWiercioch DGoloubef DBeauchemin DPickard G
CGYCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

TJ BrodieCGY3023:500:481:5575
Mark GiordanoCGY2922:580:482:2046
Tyson BarrieCOL3121:240:411:3490
Nikita ZadorovCOL2821:020:451:4044
Johnny GaudreauCGY2220:460:573:1343
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2820:130:431:2966
Patrick WierciochCOL2819:290:421:2914
Sean MonahanCGY2019:270:582:4141
Fedor TyutinCOL2919:260:401:5773
Francois BeaucheminCOL2819:160:411:5747
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2919:150:401:4075
Dennis WidemanCGY2618:520:441:3236
Dougie HamiltonCGY2618:180:421:5532
Alex ChiassonCGY1918:070:572:2441
Matt DucheneCOL2418:040:451:1732
Mikko RantanenCOL2217:440:481:4042
Carl SoderbergCOL2317:250:451:4055
Deryk EngellandCGY2317:140:451:2516
Michael FrolikCGY2316:130:421:4617
Mikhail GrigorenkoCOL2315:490:411:2051
Mikael BacklundCGY2315:120:401:1817
Rene BourqueCOL2115:000:431:2462
Jarome IginlaCOL2114:470:421:1551
Sam BennettCGY1814:290:481:2522
Cody GoloubefCOL2014:110:431:2914
Matthew TkachukCGY2013:510:421:1814
Tyler WotherspoonCGY1713:340:481:2513
Lance BoumaCGY1613:260:501:4003
Kris VersteegCGY1613:130:501:5571
Micheal FerlandCGY1812:360:421:2532
Joe ColborneCOL1711:400:411:1332
Matt StajanCGY1511:390:471:4603
Freddie HamiltonCGY1310:150:471:4602
Blake ComeauCOL149:520:421:2231
John MitchellCOL169:480:371:0923
Cody McLeodCOL105:160:320:5412