Sat, Feb 18, 2017·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
18%
69%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23:08 | 0.50 | 59.9% | +45.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:42 | 0.09 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.14 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 20:17 | 0.72 | 41.6% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.04 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.14 | 56.4% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.01 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.16 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:19 | 0.40 | 47.7% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.04 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.01 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.18 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.15 | 73.6% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 14:41 | 0.75 | 58.6% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.04 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.20 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:42 | 0.31 | 64.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.24 | −1.8 | 63:45 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 27:13 | 0.07 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:19 | 0.40 | 52.6% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.17 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 21:17 | 0.24 | 60.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.10 | 41.8% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.10 | 53.2% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.06 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.18 | 71.7% | +57.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 17:35 | 0.41 | 51.4% | +57.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.16 | 44.3% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.10 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.02 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:56 | 0.07 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:17 | 0.03 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:54 | 0.15 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.88 | +0.9 | 63:47 |