Thu, Feb 23, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Calgary Flames 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 62% of the time.
28%
10%
9%
53%
TBL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:17 | 0.10 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.03 | 59.9% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:57 | 0.67 | 61.9% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.08 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.11 | 61.3% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.13 | 64.3% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.19 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.21 | 54.7% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.04 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:37 | 0.41 | 66.6% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.06 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:44 | 0.32 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.05 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.23 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.04 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.07 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.06 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 25:03 | 0.09 | 27.2% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:36 | 0.12 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:03 | 0.26 | 45.2% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:16 | 0.03 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.28 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:45 | 0.38 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.03 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | 0.35 | 76.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.04 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.19 | 71.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 79.0% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.00 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 25.8% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.12 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.05 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:04 | 0.04 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.08 | 18.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.74 | −0.3 | 58:17 |