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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 27, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Turris–Hoffman–DzingelBrassard–Smith–StonePyatt–Wingels–PageauPyatt–Varone–PageauKelly–Blunden–WingelsKelly–Blunden–VaroneTurris–Hoffman–StoneMethot–KarlssonPhaneuf–CeciBorowiecki–WidemanPhaneuf–KarlssonMethot–CeciKarlsson–BorowieckiPhaneuf–WidemanWideman–CeciBorowiecki–CeciPhaneuf–Borowiecki
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov5:400.60–0.061:440.05–0.104:180.27–0.102:430.25–0.141:140.09–0.060:500.01–0.051:110.16–0.001:180.00–0.000:530.05–0.00
Filppula–Namestnikov–Erne1:240.14–0.054:270.16–0.151:500.00–0.100:370.00–0.003:340.07–0.171:460.00–0.161:360.12–0.001:310.09–0.111:450.16–0.121:170.03–0.00
Killorn–Drouin–Point0:480.00–0.141:370.00–0.022:030.01–0.002:430.09–0.111:160.00–0.095:000.20–0.032:420.09–0.190:370.14–0.13
Dumont–Brown–Paquette0:550.00–0.020:350.00–0.001:400.11–0.000:510.04–0.001:480.07–0.020:500.00–0.001:420.10–0.02
Killorn–Brown–Point0:430.01–0.000:330.00–0.000:410.01–0.00
Stralman–Garrison2:560.43–0.053:070.09–0.201:470.00–0.002:260.01–0.041:040.00–0.052:550.03–0.255:320.19–0.072:010.20–0.002:000.09–0.150:540.01–0.050:500.00–0.041:150.16–0.00
Hedman–Dotchin2:400.08–0.032:440.12–0.021:230.01–0.001:220.00–0.110:300.02–0.002:580.13–0.023:160.07–0.253:530.02–0.211:030.09–0.001:020.00–0.000:360.03–0.000:590.13–0.001:020.06–0.09
Coburn–Sustr3:240.31–0.211:240.00–0.100:590.01–0.101:240.09–0.000:560.07–0.115:190.25–0.181:020.09–0.002:050.18–0.060:430.05–0.250:470.11–0.000:330.00–0.03
Garrison–Sustr0:380.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFilppula FErne FNamestnikov FKucherov FJohnson FPalat FPoint FDrouin FKillorn FPaquette FBrown FDumont FGarrison DStralman DDotchin DHedman DCoburn DSustr DVasilevskiy GPyatt FPageau FWingels FBrassard FKelly FVarone FSmith FHoffman FTurris FDzingel FStone FBlunden FMethot DKarlsson DPhaneuf DCeci DWideman DBorowiecki DCondon G
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3326:400:482:1785
Victor HedmanTBL2723:210:521:3781
Jason GarrisonTBL2822:270:481:2137
Anton StralmanTBL2722:230:501:3027
Dion PhaneufOTT3121:310:421:3434
Derick BrassardOTT3020:520:421:4978
Cody CeciOTT3120:480:401:3046
Mike HoffmanOTT2720:340:461:4773
Ondrej PalatTBL2520:240:491:2445
Tyler JohnsonTBL2420:010:501:1344
Kyle TurrisOTT2519:260:472:0273
Mark StoneOTT2719:000:421:5785
Marc MethotOTT3017:460:361:1436
Zack SmithOTT2817:420:381:1658
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2617:320:401:1569
Nikita KucherovTBL2117:270:501:1341
Alex KillornTBL2416:590:421:0454
Jake DotchinTBL2016:560:511:3272
Andrej SustrTBL2416:530:421:3817
Jonathan DrouinTBL2215:410:431:4372
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2415:320:391:2827
Brayden PointTBL2115:110:431:3172
Tom PyattOTT2415:110:381:5125
Ryan DzingelOTT2214:540:411:1732
Braydon CoburnTBL2214:490:401:2606
Chris WidemanOTT2313:580:361:2724
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2113:460:391:1574
Adam ErneTBL2213:330:371:1573
Mark BorowieckiOTT2613:270:311:0142
Phil VaroneOTT2012:060:361:1213
Tommy WingelsOTT1710:540:381:0913
Chris KellyOTT1610:240:391:0403
JT BrownTBL1610:030:381:1015
Cedric PaquetteTBL136:570:320:5914
Mike BlundenOTT106:370:401:2111
Gabriel DumontTBL105:500:350:5313