Wed, Mar 1, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
43%
12%
10%
36%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:02 | 0.07 | 71.9% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:03 | 0.09 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:44 | 0.06 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.03 | 47.0% | +54.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.14 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.17 | 48.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.11 | 49.4% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.08 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.09 | 53.4% | +32.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.17 | 54.7% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:19 | 0.24 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.05 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:01 | 0.16 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.02 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.13 | 33.0% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.23 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.01 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:51 | 0.05 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 16 | 12 | 4 | .750 | 2.11 | −1.9 | 60:46 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:24 | 0.17 | 34.4% | +60.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.20 | 53.4% | +100.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.07 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.49 | 49.8% | +46.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.11 | 48.6% | +117.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.05 | 47.7% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.26 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.07 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.08 | 58.9% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.05 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.14 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.26 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.06 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:04 | 0.05 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:32 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.05 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 1.91 | −1.1 | 60:46 |