Wed, Mar 1, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
43%
12%
10%
36%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Di Giuseppe–Brown | Stempniak–Teravainen–Ryan | Rask–Lindholm–Aho | McClement–Nestrasil–Nordstrom | Nestrasil–Rask–Aho | Dahlbeck–Murphy | Faulk–Slavin | Slavin–Pesce | Faulk–Hanifin | Pesce–Hanifin | Faulk–Dahlbeck | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | 3:460.14–0.21 | 1:520.11–0.04 | 5:400.15–0.14 | 1:010.00–0.04 | 2:260.03–0.13 | 2:150.05–0.00 | 2:450.08–0.10 | 2:200.14–0.12 | 0:360.11–0.00 | ||
| Killorn–Erne–Point | 2:450.10–0.00 | 2:190.05–0.07 | 0:390.06–0.00 | 1:070.12–0.00 | 2:250.15–0.00 | 1:160.04–0.02 | 1:310.02–0.00 | 1:170.06–0.05 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:370.10–0.00 | |
| Namestnikov–Paquette–Drouin | 2:220.02–0.03 | 2:140.02–0.07 | 1:010.05–0.00 | 1:090.08–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.07 | 1:510.00–0.03 | 1:210.02–0.00 | ||||
| Dumont–McKegg–Brown | 1:220.00–0.08 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 2:200.09–0.03 | 2:090.09–0.03 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.08 | |||||
| Killorn–Drouin–Point | 0:470.00–0.05 | 1:100.05–0.02 | 1:180.00–0.10 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 2:150.05–0.10 | 0:470.00–0.05 | |||||
| Dumont–Brown–Paquette | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.08 | 0:570.00–0.06 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.08 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:570.05–0.06 | |||
| McKegg–Namestnikov–Erne | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.01 | 2:180.00–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Palat–Kucherov–Paquette | |||||||||||
| Hedman–Dotchin | 7:020.15–0.26 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 2:150.00–0.08 | 1:350.02–0.06 | 1:360.00–0.08 | 2:520.00–0.19 | 3:330.02–0.05 | 1:300.02–0.00 | 2:410.04–0.08 | 0:530.10–0.00 | |
| Stralman–Garrison | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:350.11–0.00 | 4:570.23–0.23 | 2:320.01–0.04 | 1:010.05–0.00 | 4:080.07–0.04 | 3:250.07–0.10 | 1:030.05–0.00 | 1:440.13–0.08 | ||
| Coburn–Sustr | 1:270.00–0.00 | 6:040.12–0.20 | 0:320.03–0.00 | 0:400.05–0.02 | 3:030.10–0.06 | 4:210.05–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:540.08–0.05 | 0:460.05–0.02 | ||
| Stralman–Hedman | 1:220.00–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:520.09–0.00 | 2:060.04–0.03 | 1:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.06 | |||||||
| Coburn–Stralman | 1:150.00–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Garrison–Dotchin | 0:480.11–0.11 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.11 | ||||||
| Coburn–Dotchin | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 28 | 26:02 | 0:56 | 2:30 | 5 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 26 | 25:24 | 0:59 | 2:10 | 7 | 2 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 28 | 25:03 | 0:54 | 2:35 | 5 | 4 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 26 | 24:44 | 0:57 | 2:31 | 3 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 28 | 20:57 | 0:45 | 2:12 | 11 | 3 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 24 | 20:48 | 0:52 | 2:04 | 3 | 5 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 27 | 20:44 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 9 | 3 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 28 | 20:07 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 10 | 2 |
 Jake DotchinTBL | 24 | 20:07 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 2 | 2 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 27 | 19:47 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 27 | 19:09 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 7 | 5 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 24 | 18:25 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 4 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 17:37 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 21 | 16:44 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 0 | 5 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 23 | 16:05 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 6 | 0 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 16 | 16:02 | 1:00 | 2:05 | 4 | 3 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 21 | 15:43 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 18 | 15:34 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 0 | 7 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 20 | 15:25 | 0:46 | 2:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Noah HanifinCAR | 22 | 15:22 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 22 | 15:12 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 20 | 15:06 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 19 | 14:59 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 0 | 3 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 20 | 14:59 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Derek RyanCAR | 21 | 14:21 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 3 | 4 |
 Klas DahlbeckCAR | 24 | 14:19 | 0:36 | 1:51 | 2 | 3 |
 Lee StempniakCAR | 21 | 14:12 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR | 19 | 14:01 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 5 | 1 |
 Joakim NordstromCAR | 20 | 13:55 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 1 | 4 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 19 | 13:01 | 0:41 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Patrick BrownCAR | 17 | 12:18 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan MurphyCAR | 18 | 11:50 | 0:39 | 1:51 | 2 | 0 |
 Andrej NestrasilCAR | 14 | 9:51 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 |
 JT BrownTBL | 11 | 9:04 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Gabriel DumontTBL | 11 | 8:32 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Greg McKeggTBL | 11 | 8:14 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |