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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 19, 2017·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 72% of the time.

VGK winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–NamestnikovPalat–Gourde–PointKunitz–Brown–PaquetteKillorn–Conacher–GourdeKillorn–Conacher–PointKillorn–Conacher–PaquettePalat–Kucherov–PointStralman–SergachevCoburn–SustrGirardi–HedmanCoburn–StralmanHedman–KoekkoekHedman–SergachevCoburn–GirardiHedman–SustrGirardi–KoekkoekStralman–HedmanGirardi–SergachevCoburn–HedmanStralman–Koekkoek
Neal–Perron–Haula2:240.21–0.124:440.17–0.172:140.00–0.120:420.00–0.030:590.05–0.001:080.00–0.045:050.28–0.110:500.00–0.002:400.09–0.021:400.03–0.160:350.00–0.020:410.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:520.05–0.040:340.00–0.00
Eakin–Leipsic–Tuch1:460.00–0.060:370.04–0.002:300.20–0.011:140.38–0.001:280.07–0.000:460.00–0.062:090.04–0.001:290.14–0.000:310.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:300.42–0.000:520.06–0.011:160.10–0.00
Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault4:190.29–0.071:460.07–0.000:590.15–0.011:070.11–0.001:090.18–0.061:530.15–0.010:530.04–0.030:340.00–0.000:430.00–0.020:410.06–0.001:230.00–0.000:490.02–0.000:540.09–0.00
Lindberg–Bellemare–Nosek3:120.07–0.111:200.05–0.011:070.02–0.011:140.02–0.000:400.03–0.000:530.02–0.071:350.07–0.010:520.00–0.001:170.00–0.101:100.00–0.02
Karlsson–Marchessault–Tuch
McNabb–Schmidt10:480.43–0.430:430.04–0.001:050.23–0.012:050.24–0.151:310.14–0.011:160.04–0.051:380.00–0.031:460.00–0.041:590.06–0.020:410.00–0.000:510.10–0.100:300.00–0.001:290.00–0.020:450.13–0.12
Engelland–Theodore1:020.00–0.046:350.25–0.162:140.02–0.051:010.00–0.001:160.00–0.044:020.07–0.111:330.03–0.002:510.13–0.001:120.02–0.180:550.00–0.061:300.00–0.010:410.00–0.020:480.07–0.04
Merrill–Miller1:030.11–0.020:300.05–0.003:240.11–0.053:000.43–0.031:570.09–0.000:570.15–0.002:370.05–0.001:110.10–0.001:220.00–0.050:380.07–0.000:330.02–0.000:380.42–0.000:460.06–0.001:270.09–0.020:340.00–0.00
Miller–Theodore0:400.00–0.010:470.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Miller–Schmidt0:390.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Engelland–Merrill0:320.00–0.000:350.02–0.000:350.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FNeal FHaula FPerron FLeipsic FEakin FTuch FLindberg FBellemare FNosek FEngelland DTheodore DMcNabb DSchmidt DMiller DMerrill DFleury GPalat FPoint FGourde FNamestnikov FStamkos FKucherov FKillorn FConacher FPaquette FKunitz FBrown FGirardi DHedman DSergachev DStralman DCoburn DSustr DKoekkoek DVasilevskiy G
VGKTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3127:440:542:2856
Nikita KucherovTBL2623:310:542:2862
Nate SchmidtVGK2622:200:521:3533
Yanni GourdeTBL2721:330:481:2545
Steven StamkosTBL2521:020:501:4062
Brayden PointTBL2820:560:451:3766
Shea TheodoreVGK2520:390:501:3451
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2520:210:491:4062
Brayden McNabbVGK2520:070:482:1014
James NealVGK2119:440:561:5160
Deryk EngellandVGK2719:320:431:3423
Colin MillerVGK2319:230:512:1353
Anton StralmanTBL2719:190:431:3324
David PerronVGK2019:030:571:5160
Erik HaulaVGK1918:370:591:4560
Alex KillornTBL2117:570:511:4453
Dan GirardiTBL2817:060:371:2333
William KarlssonVGK2316:540:441:2622
Braydon CoburnTBL2616:500:391:1113
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK1916:120:511:4052
Ondrej PalatTBL2115:490:451:0851
Reilly SmithVGK2214:470:401:2642
Jon MerrillVGK1814:400:491:1622
Mikhail SergachevTBL1814:110:471:4661
Cody EakinVGK1913:580:441:1322
Alex TuchVGK1813:510:461:2631
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK2013:130:401:4906
Cory ConacherTBL1712:130:431:3722
Tomas NosekVGK1511:000:441:3404
Cedric PaquetteTBL1510:590:441:3101
Brendan LeipsicVGK1410:440:461:0721
Andrej SustrTBL1310:050:471:4601
Oscar LindbergVGK119:530:542:0401
JT BrownTBL149:100:391:3000
Slater KoekkoekTBL178:500:311:0102
Chris KunitzTBL138:220:391:3000