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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 1, 2018·Citi Field, QueensOutdoor game

New York Rangers 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Grabner–Hayes–MillerNash–Zuccarello–ZibanejadDesharnais–Vesey–BuchnevichCarey–Fast–NievesStaal–SkjeiMcDonagh–HoldenShattenkirk–SmithMcDonagh–SkjeiShattenkirk–Holden
Okposo–O'Reilly–Kane2:070.05–0.073:340.01–0.084:190.35–0.070:330.08–0.052:470.00–0.004:430.14–0.092:100.31–0.18
Girgensons–Reinhart–Eichel2:340.00–0.360:520.04–0.002:030.00–0.203:140.08–0.113:430.00–0.453:150.00–0.120:320.04–0.00
Pominville–Pouliot–Rodrigues1:000.00–0.151:370.00–0.001:530.01–0.011:520.05–0.231:150.00–0.112:310.00–0.272:570.05–0.070:400.00–0.00
Josefson–Nolan–Larsson1:060.00–0.031:550.00–0.001:490.00–0.021:130.02–0.120:340.00–0.004:040.00–0.02
Nolan–Larsson–Rodrigues0:480.00–0.00
Kane–Reinhart–Eichel
Pominville–Pouliot–Josefson0:370.00–0.000:460.08–0.01
Bogosian–McCabe5:160.05–0.562:220.01–0.002:440.31–0.183:260.16–0.113:480.00–0.614:110.04–0.184:450.33–0.00
Scandella–Ristolainen1:470.16–0.096:420.04–0.091:580.03–0.101:230.08–0.035:070.02–0.115:120.09–0.022:050.15–0.150:390.13–0.090:330.00–0.00
Gorges–Beaulieu2:150.03–0.020:340.00–0.002:560.01–0.003:160.05–0.282:420.00–0.131:470.01–0.124:400.07–0.10
Gorges–Scandella1:300.00–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKane FOkposo FO'Reilly FEichel FJosefson FLarsson FGirgensons FPouliot FPominville FRodrigues FNolan FReinhart FScandella DRistolainen DBogosian DGorges DMcCabe DBeaulieu DLehner GZuccarello FNash FZibanejad FGrabner FMiller FVesey FDesharnais FBuchnevich FHayes FFast FCarey FNieves FMcDonagh DHolden DStaal DSkjei DShattenkirk DSmith DLundqvist G
BUFNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3026:000:521:3754
Ryan McDonaghNYR3525:150:431:4553
Marco ScandellaBUF3525:080:431:3956
Marc StaalNYR3122:340:441:4447
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2922:120:461:3048
Jack EichelBUF2721:380:481:1553
Brady SkjeiNYR2620:340:471:5833
Evander KaneBUF2820:190:441:4555
Jake McCabeBUF3119:490:381:1113
Zach BogosianBUF3119:440:381:5113
Nick HoldenNYR3019:130:381:3123
Kyle OkposoBUF2218:550:521:3034
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2518:310:441:2782
Kevin HayesNYR2518:110:441:1454
Kevin ShattenkirkNYR2518:110:441:52100
Sam ReinhartBUF2318:060:471:2042
J.T. MillerNYR2617:300:401:2971
Michael GrabnerNYR2717:040:381:0855
Rick NashNYR2616:410:391:0664
Mika ZibanejadNYR2315:410:411:0573
Brendan SmithNYR2415:410:391:2280
Jimmy VeseyNYR2015:170:461:2930
Josh GorgesBUF1915:150:481:3404
Evan RodriguesBUF2014:150:431:4110
David DesharnaisNYR1914:150:451:5230
Jason PominvilleBUF2013:520:421:0510
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1713:060:461:1403
Jesper FastNYR2112:290:361:0931
Nathan BeaulieuBUF1811:520:401:3113
Johan LarssonBUF1811:390:390:5908
Pavel BuchnevichNYR1911:310:361:0240
Benoit PouliotBUF1711:190:401:0400
Jacob JosefsonBUF1911:140:350:5806
Boo NievesNYR1610:500:411:0740
Paul CareyNYR149:500:421:2630
Jordan NolanBUF149:460:421:1304