Sat, Jan 6, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Ottawa Senators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.
21%
66%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28:26 | 0.32 | 48.4% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.07 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.16 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:54 | 0.74 | 44.4% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.18 | 44.6% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.41 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.03 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.02 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:36 | 0.30 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.31 | 41.5% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:22 | 1.01 | 59.1% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.05 | 31.2% | +23.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:19 | 0.06 | 39.5% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.03 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.22 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.16 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:17 | 0.15 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:22 | 0.15 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 27 | 6 | .818 | 2.82 | −3.2 | 57:49 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 1 | 29:30 | 0.03 | 70.0% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.02 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:01 | 0.03 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.21 | 54.4% | +50.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 18:01 | 0.12 | 69.5% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.34 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.12 | 24.6% | +9.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.37 | 53.9% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:34 | 0.51 | 60.0% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:54 | 0.36 | 58.8% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.08 | 52.9% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 41.5% | +6.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.14 | 23.6% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.02 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:48 | 0.19 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:47 | 0.28 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:50 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 48 | 45 | 3 | .938 | 4.37 | +1.4 | 60:00 |