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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 6, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Ottawa Senators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 72% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–NamestnikovJohnson–Palat–PointKunitz–Callahan–PaquetteKillorn–Conacher–GourdeHedman–DotchinStralman–SergachevGirardi–Koekkoek
Pyatt–Smith–Pageau7:000.17–0.141:580.00–0.093:360.04–0.193:340.11–0.031:300.01–0.01
Brassard–Stone–Dzingel0:480.36–0.271:530.11–0.202:490.45–0.042:470.00–0.194:010.41–0.221:290.10–0.282:250.40–0.00
Ryan–Hoffman–Duchene0:470.00–0.043:350.23–0.120:470.00–0.032:480.07–0.153:560.28–0.070:550.12–0.003:030.02–0.27
Burrows–Dumont–White1:170.13–0.003:520.23–0.280:310.00–0.002:120.13–0.222:290.23–0.001:110.01–0.05
Brassard–Hoffman–Stone0:320.00–0.040:440.00–0.04
Phaneuf–Ceci1:500.00–0.066:090.24–0.320:330.02–0.030:590.00–0.225:590.22–0.202:460.22–0.241:400.02–0.19
Karlsson–Chabot1:330.25–0.012:490.51–0.003:340.00–0.093:470.37–0.080:450.00–0.013:370.40–0.06
Oduya–Karlsson3:510.26–0.401:360.09–0.070:390.21–0.003:250.21–0.201:390.31–0.000:470.04–0.00
Harpur–Chabot3:040.04–0.281:040.04–0.221:230.00–0.000:580.00–0.08
Oduya–Harpur1:160.03–0.010:530.00–0.010:450.00–0.000:490.03–0.001:400.00–0.02
Phaneuf–Karlsson1:030.00–0.001:030.00–0.000:440.01–0.00
Ceci–Harpur0:410.00–0.010:490.00–0.030:300.00–0.031:080.00–0.05
Karlsson–Harpur0:360.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRyan FHoffman FDuchene FDzingel FBrassard FStone FPyatt FSmith FPageau FBurrows FDumont FWhite FKarlsson DChabot DOduya DHarpur DPhaneuf DCeci DAnderson GPaquette FKunitz FCallahan FKucherov FNamestnikov FStamkos FPalat FJohnson FPoint FKillorn FGourde FConacher FDotchin DHedman DSergachev DStralman DKoekkoek DGirardi DVasilevskiy G
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3229:300:552:1175
Victor HedmanTBL2928:260:592:0285
Cody CeciOTT3224:010:451:4318
Dion PhaneufOTT3123:010:451:2813
Jake DotchinTBL2320:510:542:0263
Brayden PointTBL2519:250:471:2645
Mark StoneOTT2619:020:441:3574
Tyler JohnsonTBL2418:540:471:2433
Nikita KucherovTBL2018:280:551:5282
Steven StamkosTBL2118:070:521:52112
Thomas ChabotOTT2618:010:421:1881
Mike HoffmanOTT2317:370:461:1644
Anton StralmanTBL2417:060:431:2063
Ondrej PalatTBL2116:540:481:2643
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1916:360:521:52101
Yanni GourdeTBL1916:310:521:2442
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2416:270:411:0928
Matt DucheneOTT2116:250:471:2814
Alex KillornTBL2116:220:471:5271
Mikhail SergachevTBL2315:590:421:2462
Derick BrassardOTT2215:340:421:3574
Slater KoekkoekTBL2515:190:371:1014
Tom PyattOTT2114:430:421:2128
Dan GirardiTBL2414:060:351:0106
Ryan DzingelOTT2213:540:381:2853
Bobby RyanOTT2213:420:371:2814
Johnny OduyaOTT1713:230:472:1416
Zack SmithOTT1913:150:421:0914
Ben HarpurOTT2112:430:361:0425
Ryan CallahanTBL1911:350:371:1424
Cory ConacherTBL119:530:541:2830
Alexandre BurrowsOTT159:480:391:2850
Chris KunitzTBL169:170:351:0814
Gabriel DumontOTT138:470:411:1550
Cedric PaquetteTBL158:220:331:0714
Colin WhiteOTT127:500:391:0440