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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 18, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 58% of the time.

TBL winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Karlsson–MarchessaultNeal–Perron–HaulaEakin–Lindberg–TuchCarrier–Carpenter–BellemareEakin–Haula–TuchPerron–Eakin–TuchLindberg–Bellemare–TuchMiller–HuntMcNabb–SchmidtEngelland–TheodoreMcNabb–Hunt
Johnson–Palat–Point4:370.09–0.333:070.02–0.020:430.04–0.030:530.00–0.003:010.00–0.031:510.00–0.014:580.19–0.33
Killorn–Conacher–Gourde1:020.03–0.021:460.00–0.001:250.00–0.070:350.00–0.003:380.00–0.001:020.03–0.09
Kunitz–Callahan–Paquette1:080.00–0.031:490.23–0.530:470.00–0.080:460.02–0.002:270.23–0.481:160.00–0.031:080.02–0.02
Kunitz–Stamkos–Kucherov0:570.05–0.002:040.06–0.121:410.16–0.083:500.26–0.100:400.03–0.00
Callahan–Conacher–Paquette1:100.05–0.001:150.12–0.001:050.02–0.071:100.00–0.003:010.18–0.071:280.00–0.00
Killorn–Namestnikov–Gourde3:170.13–0.002:120.07–0.001:210.13–0.000:300.00–0.00
Stamkos–Johnson–Palat1:390.09–0.110:360.00–0.000:460.09–0.111:100.00–0.00
Kucherov–Namestnikov–Point0:370.03–0.000:560.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:070.03–0.001:450.00–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Namestnikov0:410.00–0.050:360.12–0.101:040.00–0.090:390.12–0.12
Stamkos–Kucherov–Gourde0:350.00–0.010:500.00–0.10
Stamkos–Palat–Kucherov0:370.00–0.041:020.00–0.12
Coburn–Dotchin2:460.05–0.043:290.19–0.403:520.07–0.073:390.00–0.060:350.00–0.006:400.08–0.434:150.05–0.123:310.17–0.02
Stralman–Koekkoek5:120.18–0.361:270.00–0.042:140.00–0.210:320.00–0.032:540.03–0.124:030.14–0.282:150.03–0.26
Girardi–Sergachev1:050.00–0.073:040.02–0.042:150.04–0.160:530.00–0.000:400.10–0.002:540.00–0.063:250.02–0.201:520.04–0.020:400.10–0.00
Stralman–Sergachev2:280.09–0.080:580.26–0.131:000.10–0.031:030.16–0.001:510.28–0.002:040.27–0.002:080.13–0.16
Girardi–Koekkoek2:110.12–0.200:400.00–0.001:570.12–0.090:490.00–0.000:310.00–0.10
Koekkoek–Dotchin0:560.00–0.010:400.00–0.000:440.00–0.010:490.00–0.02
Dotchin–Sergachev1:040.00–0.230:560.00–0.20
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPalat FPoint FKucherov FNamestnikov FStamkos FKunitz FKillorn FGourde FPaquette FCallahan FConacher FStralman DSergachev DGirardi DKoekkoek DCoburn DDotchin DVasilevskiy GSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FNeal FHaula FPerron FEakin FLindberg FTuch FBellemare FCarrier FCarpenter FMcNabb DSchmidt DEngelland DTheodore DMiller DHunt DFleury G
TBLVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brayden McNabbVGK2722:110:491:3435
Brad HuntVGK2121:171:011:4831
Colin MillerVGK2221:090:581:4822
Mikhail SergachevTBL2421:060:531:3153
Jake DotchinTBL2320:240:531:3723
Anton StralmanTBL2420:220:511:5632
Ondrej PalatTBL2419:420:491:3853
Nate SchmidtVGK2619:400:451:2624
Brayden PointTBL2519:380:471:3473
Braydon CoburnTBL2419:190:481:2815
Slater KoekkoekTBL2318:310:481:5643
Deryk EngellandVGK2617:580:411:2433
Tyler JohnsonTBL2317:210:451:1433
Alex TuchVGK1617:131:051:3321
Erik HaulaVGK1717:101:012:3022
William KarlssonVGK1916:560:531:4822
Nikita KucherovTBL1816:550:561:5163
Steven StamkosTBL1816:300:551:3843
Reilly SmithVGK1916:020:511:1832
Dan GirardiTBL2015:530:481:3455
Shea TheodoreVGK2415:380:391:2032
David PerronVGK1715:260:541:3721
James NealVGK1715:190:541:3721
Cody EakinVGK1615:180:571:3311
Yanni GourdeTBL2015:030:451:1402
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK1615:010:561:3131
Alex KillornTBL1914:310:461:1302
Ryan CallahanTBL1813:340:451:3453
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1713:290:481:1413
Oscar LindbergVGK1513:160:531:3300
Cory ConacherTBL1712:120:431:0614
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1412:040:521:2332
Cedric PaquetteTBL1711:360:411:1944
Ryan CarpenterVGK1511:290:461:1422
Chris KunitzTBL1711:190:401:1242
William CarrierVGK1310:140:471:1320