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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 24, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 1, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 84% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pouliot–O'Reilly–ReinhartOkposo–Girgensons–RodriguesJosefson–Nolan–BaptistePominville–Larsson–WilsonBeaulieu–RistolainenScandella–NelsonGorges–AntipinScandella–AntipinScandella–Ristolainen
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Wilson3:530.12–0.404:571.39–0.492:250.00–0.031:390.23–0.005:340.20–0.526:291.44–0.432:050.10–0.05
Oshie–Kuznetsov–Connolly4:410.18–0.212:160.01–0.022:580.34–0.012:370.40–0.014:550.08–0.113:060.06–0.13
Eller–Stephenson–Burakovsky1:010.04–0.031:170.00–0.054:300.18–0.012:180.00–0.012:430.01–0.053:390.15–0.073:490.09–0.02
Beagle–Chiasson–Smith-Pelly3:140.00–0.171:070.00–0.001:120.01–0.012:350.24–0.170:380.01–0.002:240.00–0.01
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson0:400.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Chiasson–Kuznetsov–Connolly1:150.11–0.001:170.11–0.00
Oshie–Beagle–Kuznetsov1:090.00–0.020:460.00–0.01
Niskanen–Orlov9:590.33–0.492:500.38–0.131:550.00–0.042:540.30–0.016:290.32–0.397:120.57–0.272:500.11–0.010:550.00–0.041:020.00–0.00
Carlson–Djoos6:511.02–0.371:510.06–0.003:040.40–0.012:400.31–0.127:061.10–0.194:100.10–0.08
Orpik–Kempny1:430.11–0.072:300.00–0.234:460.18–0.032:510.15–0.017:190.44–0.262:000.00–0.163:570.09–0.02
Orpik–Carlson1:120.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Carlson–Orlov
Orlov–Kempny1:100.00–0.111:000.00–0.11
Niskanen–Kempny0:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FBackstrom FWilson FConnolly FOshie FKuznetsov FBurakovsky FStephenson FEller FSmith-Pelly FChiasson FBeagle FNiskanen DOrlov DDjoos DCarlson DKempny DOrpik DGrubauer GReinhart FPouliot FO'Reilly FWilson FLarsson FPominville FOkposo FGirgensons FRodrigues FJosefson FBaptiste FNolan FScandella DNelson DRistolainen DBeaulieu DGorges DAntipin DLehner G
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2824:000:511:5055
Matt NiskanenWSH2323:581:032:0145
Dmitry OrlovWSH2323:501:022:0153
Marco ScandellaBUF2722:070:491:15310
Casey NelsonBUF2620:180:471:1628
John CarlsonWSH2320:090:531:2923
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2620:080:461:2788
Nathan BeaulieuBUF2419:360:491:5031
Brooks OrpikWSH1919:211:012:3813
Kyle OkposoBUF2119:090:551:5725
Evan RodriguesBUF2218:570:521:5735
Alex OvechkinWSH2018:530:572:0311
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2118:520:541:4133
Tom WilsonWSH2018:460:562:2112
Sam ReinhartBUF2017:290:521:2774
Benoit PouliotBUF2217:290:481:3053
Nicklas BackstromWSH2017:260:521:4104
Michal KempnyWSH1716:591:001:3211
Victor AntipinBUF2216:340:451:3331
T.J. OshieWSH2015:510:481:2333
Brett ConnollyWSH1915:050:481:2340
Christian DjoosWSH1915:030:481:2622
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2214:580:411:1214
Josh GorgesBUF2114:330:421:4822
Chandler StephensonWSH1914:090:451:2362
Andre BurakovskyWSH1613:320:511:1641
Lars EllerWSH1513:170:531:2351
Johan LarssonBUF1813:160:441:0912
Scott WilsonBUF1713:030:461:2311
Jordan NolanBUF1611:590:451:1131
Jason PominvilleBUF2011:560:361:0310
Nick BaptisteBUF1811:420:391:1130
Jacob JosefsonBUF1711:240:401:1131
Jay BeagleWSH1911:210:361:0229
Devante Smith-PellyWSH149:500:421:0923
Alex ChiassonWSH139:380:441:2033