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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 28, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

O'Reilly–Girgensons–ReinhartPominville–Wilson–RodriguesPouliot–Larsson–BaptisteJosefson–Nolan–GriffithScandella–RistolainenNelson–AntipinFalk–BeaulieuBeaulieu–AntipinRistolainen–NelsonScandella–Antipin
Johnson–Miller–Erne10:480.38–0.162:080.19–0.041:100.00–0.047:010.06–0.054:500.23–0.192:170.09–0.000:440.19–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Point2:580.00–0.144:280.12–0.161:470.08–0.004:530.01–0.223:100.00–0.001:050.19–0.000:370.00–0.02
Kunitz–Conacher–Gourde0:520.02–0.003:300.18–0.111:250.28–0.001:270.16–0.001:080.28–0.022:220.02–0.030:300.00–0.06
Callahan–Bournival–Paquette1:140.00–0.000:510.00–0.003:250.00–0.102:500.00–0.061:120.00–0.031:540.00–0.00
Killorn–Gourde–Point0:320.02–0.000:440.01–0.040:560.00–0.020:570.00–0.030:560.01–0.000:370.02–0.060:350.00–0.00
Kunitz–Callahan–Stamkos0:350.00–0.00
Bournival–Conacher–Paquette0:570.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman10:360.26–0.292:520.14–0.180:590.02–0.060:530.00–0.039:410.07–0.302:200.00–0.392:160.13–0.000:540.19–0.02
Coburn–Sustr2:070.14–0.032:590.09–0.193:270.06–0.112:570.00–0.082:380.04–0.104:090.14–0.114:350.10–0.12
Girardi–Sergachev1:110.00–0.002:500.10–0.004:180.19–0.033:130.31–0.063:580.12–0.104:480.38–0.002:300.09–0.000:430.00–0.00
Girardi–Hedman2:250.02–0.000:530.00–0.090:480.00–0.002:300.02–0.020:510.00–0.090:590.00–0.00
Stralman–Sergachev1:100.00–0.001:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKillorn FPoint FStamkos FJohnson FMiller FErne FKunitz FGourde FConacher FPaquette FBournival FCallahan FStralman DHedman DGirardi DSergachev DCoburn DSustr DVasilevskiy GReinhart FGirgensons FO'Reilly FBaptiste FWilson FRodrigues FPominville FLarsson FPouliot FJosefson FNolan FGriffith FScandella DRistolainen DNelson DAntipin DFalk DBeaulieu DJohnson G
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2929:311:013:4256
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3028:280:573:0552
Marco ScandellaBUF3225:370:481:3942
Anton StralmanTBL2725:310:572:0246
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2624:570:582:1474
Sam ReinhartBUF2524:080:582:3264
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2620:540:481:3445
Dan GirardiTBL2320:170:531:4812
Victor AntipinBUF2419:440:492:0331
Brayden PointTBL2419:310:491:2546
Casey NelsonBUF2318:420:492:1221
Tyler JohnsonTBL2218:400:512:0544
Alex KillornTBL2318:360:491:2221
Jason PominvilleBUF2618:190:421:4270
J.T. MillerTBL2417:400:441:5635
Steven StamkosTBL2217:380:481:2964
Adam ErneTBL2216:350:451:0444
Mikhail SergachevTBL2016:070:481:3120
Braydon CoburnTBL2015:470:471:2603
Evan RodriguesBUF2115:360:451:2140
Scott WilsonBUF2014:160:431:2120
Ryan CallahanTBL1914:140:451:2623
Nathan BeaulieuBUF1813:340:451:2310
Andrej SustrTBL1713:080:461:2602
Benoit PouliotBUF2112:580:371:0730
Johan LarssonBUF2212:520:351:2412
Yanni GourdeTBL1812:410:421:2501
Nick BaptisteBUF2112:320:361:1220
Justin FalkBUF2012:090:361:0110
Chris KunitzTBL1711:520:421:2521
Cedric PaquetteTBL1511:490:471:4804
Seth GriffithBUF1510:120:411:0120
Jacob JosefsonBUF1410:040:431:0710
Michael BournivalTBL139:200:431:4812
Cory ConacherTBL139:010:421:1602
Jordan NolanBUF128:450:441:0110