Thu, Mar 1, 2018·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Dallas Stars 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 63% of the time.
53%
10%
30%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 30:16 | 0.04 | 71.2% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.02 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:23 | 0.43 | 58.8% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:16 | 0.09 | 39.4% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.06 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.34 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.45 | 69.1% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:33 | 0.06 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.15 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.06 | 39.0% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:34 | 0.15 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.32 | 43.7% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.03 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.01 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.20 | 32.4% | +56.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:13 | 0.00 | 47.6% | +24.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.13 | 44.5% | +47.1 |
| W | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.24 | −0.8 | 64:19 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 25:15 | 0.13 | 37.7% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:32 | 0.14 | 51.7% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.02 | 45.8% | +21.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 9 | 22:47 | 0.85 | 52.7% | +88.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:24 | 0.58 | 54.9% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.02 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.17 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:51 | 0.13 | 38.9% | +52.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.33 | 52.0% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.02 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.03 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.16 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.03 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.06 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 11:58 | 0.47 | 50.4% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.07 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.02 | 57.2% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 49.9% | +16.8 |
| O | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 2.54 | −2.5 | 62:30 |