Sat, Mar 10, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.
49%
11%
32%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:41 | 0.06 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:44 | 0.05 | 46.2% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:27 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.02 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:03 | 0.43 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:47 | 0.40 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:44 | 0.05 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:25 | 0.35 | 44.8% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.19 | 42.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.05 | 88.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.12 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.05 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.12 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.02 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:17 | 0.28 | 47.5% | +36.5 |
| O | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.68 | +0.7 | 64:41 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29:34 | 0.17 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:41 | 0.56 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:35 | 0.40 | 46.8% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.02 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:00 | 0.38 | 40.9% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.01 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.00 | 72.9% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.04 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.36 | 35.4% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.02 | 79.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.03 | 65.2% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.10 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:28 | 0.04 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.03 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.19 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.06 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:49 | 0.22 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:27 | 0.03 | 80.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.21 | +0.2 | 64:12 |