Thu, Mar 15, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.
39%
11%
42%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:58 | 0.07 | 59.9% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:09 | 0.06 | 65.8% | +15.3 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.04 | 33.4% | +16.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:10 | 0.00 | 36.6% | +16.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.25 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.83 | 63.1% | +18.1 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 17:47 | 0.41 | 79.5% | +8.5 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:18 | 0.19 | 82.3% | +8.5 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.14 | 79.5% | +15.3 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.04 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.22 | 71.3% | +39.8 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.36 | 56.6% | +17.9 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.05 | 82.5% | +17.9 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.04 | 23.1% | 0.0 |
 Tomas PlekanecC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:45 | 0.23 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.02 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:11 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Curtis McElhinney#35 | W | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 2.85 | +0.8 | 59:40 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 8 | 27:11 | 0.26 | 48.8% | +7.1 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:05 | 0.24 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Marco ScandellaD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:46 | 0.03 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 23:43 | 0.60 | 56.5% | +16.5 |
 Scott WilsonC · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.28 | 52.0% | +16.5 |
 Casey NelsonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.02 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #71 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 16:28 | 0.37 | 61.1% | +23.6 |
 Brendan GuhleD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.06 | 30.3% | 0.0 |
 Victor AntipinD · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.03 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 14:55 | 0.30 | 21.4% | +7.1 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.01 | 23.8% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:14 | 0.40 | 70.4% | 0.0 |
 Nathan BeaulieuD · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Benoit PouliotLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.13 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Jacob JosefsonC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick BaptisteRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:26 | 0.00 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Jordan NolanC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.02 | 26.1% | 0.0 |
 Justin BaileyRW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.07 | 22.2% | 0.0 |
 Robin Lehner#40 | L | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 2.21 | −1.8 | 57:15 |