Thu, Mar 15, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.
39%
11%
42%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Brown | Marleau–Hyman–Nylander | Komarov–Kadri–Marner | Plekanec–Martin–Kapanen | Marleau–Kadri–Marner | Martin–Kadri–Kapanen | Hainsey–Rielly | Polak–Gardiner | Carrick–Dermott | Gardiner–Rielly | Gardiner–Dermott | Hainsey–Polak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly–Wilson–Reinhart | 1:590.04–0.00 | 4:510.26–0.14 | 2:050.03–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.15 | 9:110.37–0.31 | 1:570.01–0.00 | 0:330.01–0.01 | |||||
| Pominville–Pouliot–Larsson | 1:110.00–0.20 | 3:230.14–0.39 | 1:540.06–0.00 | 1:210.01–0.29 | 3:220.09–0.02 | 3:500.09–0.38 | ||||||
| Girgensons–Baptiste–Rodrigues | 3:110.00–0.11 | 0:420.15–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.05 | 1:270.21–0.02 | 2:100.00–0.12 | 3:390.36–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.05 | |||||
| Josefson–Nolan–Bailey | 2:480.00–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.07 | 2:340.07–0.11 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:390.00–0.17 | 3:440.00–0.01 | 0:450.07–0.00 | ||||
| O'Reilly–Girgensons–Reinhart | 0:450.11–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:330.11–0.00 | |||||||||
| Scandella–Ristolainen | 2:550.04–0.00 | 3:240.19–0.09 | 3:430.04–0.07 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.15 | 0:510.13–0.00 | 4:150.17–0.21 | 4:560.09–0.09 | 3:510.03–0.14 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:390.13–0.00 | |
| Guhle–Nelson | 3:310.00–0.29 | 4:350.25–0.19 | 1:060.02–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.08 | 6:420.11–0.25 | 3:550.15–0.12 | 1:520.01–0.25 | |||||
| Beaulieu–Antipin | 4:070.01–0.14 | 1:230.03–0.37 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 3:200.28–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:320.05–0.32 | 2:370.21–0.08 | 5:010.08–0.10 | ||||
| Nelson–Antipin | 0:500.05–0.00 | 1:050.06–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Scandella–Nelson | 1:010.06–0.01 | 1:010.06–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 28 | 27:11 | 0:58 | 2:26 | 5 | 4 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 28 | 24:58 | 0:54 | 2:48 | 4 | 5 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 26 | 24:05 | 0:56 | 2:26 | 6 | 9 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 27 | 23:46 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 3 | 5 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 24 | 23:43 | 0:59 | 2:17 | 5 | 6 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 29 | 23:09 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 7 | 2 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 26 | 20:29 | 0:47 | 2:48 | 1 | 7 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 29 | 20:10 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 23 | 19:45 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 4 | 6 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 21 | 18:54 | 0:54 | 2:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 22 | 18:31 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 24 | 18:08 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 24 | 17:47 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 6 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 17:18 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 6 | 4 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 22 | 17:13 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 17:06 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 5 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 20 | 16:28 | 0:49 | 2:00 | 4 | 0 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 21 | 16:06 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 6 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 15:49 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 3 | 1 |
 Brendan GuhleBUF | 23 | 15:27 | 0:40 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Victor AntipinBUF | 19 | 15:14 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 2 | 0 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 21 | 15:00 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 0 | 1 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 17 | 14:55 | 0:53 | 1:25 | 4 | 0 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 22 | 14:24 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 2 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 24 | 14:14 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 18 | 13:21 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Benoit PouliotBUF | 18 | 13:00 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 3 | 2 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 19 | 12:25 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 0 | 1 |
 Jacob JosefsonBUF | 16 | 11:58 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 19 | 11:26 | 0:36 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 18 | 11:21 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 0 | 3 |
 Jordan NolanBUF | 14 | 10:12 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |
 Tomas PlekanecTOR | 15 | 9:45 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 0 | 4 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 11 | 9:00 | 0:49 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 13 | 8:45 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 11 | 8:11 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 2 | 2 |