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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 16, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Dallas Stars 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.

OTT winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Radulov–Benn–SeguinRoussel–Pitlick–FaksaSpezza–Smith–JanmarkShore–Dickinson–ElieSpezza–Radulov–JanmarkPitlick–Faksa–ShoreRadulov–Roussel–SeguinKlingberg–LindellHamhuis–PaterynJohns–HonkaHamhuis–JohnsJohns–LindellPateryn–Klingberg
Hoffman–Duchene–Dzingel1:310.03–0.104:570.12–0.192:590.22–0.220:430.00–0.000:370.03–0.000:370.12–0.000:390.00–0.004:460.09–0.277:170.31–0.260:480.00–0.000:530.25–0.000:420.00–0.00
Pyatt–Smith–Paajarvi7:060.25–0.430:490.00–0.020:520.04–0.000:570.00–0.005:400.27–0.183:380.00–0.281:450.04–0.040:310.08–0.00
Burrows–Ryan–Pageau1:580.16–0.001:190.11–0.050:300.00–0.063:030.16–0.050:570.11–0.000:480.03–0.06
Gaborik–Ryan–Pageau1:290.03–0.051:290.00–0.001:120.00–0.041:270.03–0.051:540.00–0.000:550.00–0.04
Gaborik–O'Brien–McCormick1:410.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:410.01–0.001:020.00–0.00
Burrows–O'Brien–McCormick1:060.00–0.000:380.00–0.001:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Karlsson–Chabot0:580.00–0.104:020.23–0.113:230.21–0.023:300.09–0.224:390.31–0.112:320.03–0.000:580.21–0.00
Ceci–Harpur5:540.39–0.361:010.00–0.021:130.00–0.045:460.31–0.182:320.00–0.201:060.08–0.04
Borowiecki–Ceci4:150.04–0.020:520.00–0.000:330.01–0.003:100.04–0.011:260.00–0.010:580.01–0.00
Karlsson–Claesson0:400.03–0.001:180.00–0.001:080.00–0.210:460.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:390.00–0.001:510.00–0.052:000.12–0.151:330.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Claesson1:100.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:110.00–0.002:310.00–0.00
Karlsson–Harpur1:070.00–0.100:400.00–0.041:040.00–0.050:500.04–0.360:500.00–0.04
Ceci–Chabot0:340.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Karlsson–Borowiecki0:370.00–0.030:550.00–0.030:300.00–0.11
Claesson–Harpur0:380.00–0.000:420.10–0.000:470.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Harpur0:590.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Harpur–Chabot0:520.00–0.060:530.04–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPyatt FSmith FPaajarvi FHoffman FPageau FRyan FBurrows FDzingel FDuchene FGaborik FO'Brien FMcCormick FCeci DHarpur DChabot DKarlsson DBorowiecki DClaesson DAnderson GBenn FRadulov FSeguin FFaksa FRoussel FPitlick FJanmark FSmith FSpezza FShore FDickinson FElie FKlingberg DLindell DPateryn DHamhuis DJohns DHonka DBishop G
OTTDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3131:151:002:0295
John KlingbergDAL2926:020:542:1054
Esa LindellDAL2824:350:532:0444
Mike HoffmanOTT2724:220:541:4183
Dan HamhuisDAL3024:000:481:2637
Tyler SeguinDAL3623:240:391:1945
Cody CeciOTT3223:080:431:3354
Matt DucheneOTT2622:450:531:4183
Ryan DzingelOTT2622:060:511:4973
Greg PaterynDAL2521:290:521:4624
Alexander RadulovDAL3221:260:401:1352
Jamie BennDAL3420:550:371:1375
Thomas ChabotOTT2619:190:451:3293
Radek FaksaDAL2618:500:431:2417
Stephen JohnsDAL2317:400:461:2125
Ben HarpurOTT2317:160:451:3415
Bobby RyanOTT2217:100:471:3045
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2316:480:441:2065
Zack SmithOTT2516:320:401:1824
Mattias JanmarkDAL2115:320:441:1844
Magnus PaajarviOTT2315:160:401:1023
Antoine RousselDAL2115:150:441:1315
Tom PyattOTT2415:100:381:1124
Tyler PitlickDAL2314:590:391:2415
Mark BorowieckiOTT2014:480:441:1910
Alexandre BurrowsOTT1813:190:441:2822
Fredrik ClaessonOTT2013:180:401:1232
Marian GaborikOTT1812:570:431:2742
Devin ShoreDAL2011:320:351:1221
Jason SpezzaDAL2010:560:330:5444
Julius HonkaDAL169:570:371:1002
Remi ElieDAL159:320:381:0010
Gemel SmithDAL149:030:391:0442
Jason DickinsonDAL148:330:371:0910
Jim O'BrienOTT107:340:451:2720
Max McCormickOTT107:040:421:4020