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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 8, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 64% of the time.

BUF winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Karlsson–MarchessaultStastny–Pacioretty–HaulaLindberg–Carpenter–NosekReaves–Carrier–BellemareReaves–Lindberg–CarpenterCarrier–Bellemare–NosekHaula–Karlsson–MarchessaultMcNabb–MillerHolden–MerrillEngelland–TheodoreMiller–TheodoreEngelland–Holden
Sheary–Reinhart–Eichel3:470.22–0.111:560.00–0.032:540.10–0.210:540.16–0.000:450.00–0.000:390.04–0.003:140.00–0.211:320.00–0.006:140.51–0.09
Okposo–Berglund–Skinner3:310.08–0.025:320.16–0.070:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.004:030.14–0.073:140.02–0.022:420.01–0.021:010.00–0.01
Pominville–Girgensons–Rodrigues2:100.04–0.192:060.06–0.090:410.23–0.001:540.00–0.030:540.02–0.005:000.11–0.223:050.23–0.090:510.00–0.01
Elie–Thompson–Mittelstadt1:060.01–0.030:440.00–0.041:090.00–0.091:180.00–0.000:530.00–0.222:220.00–0.101:050.00–0.03
Okposo–Skinner–Mittelstadt0:490.00–0.081:090.00–0.08
Berglund–Skinner–Reinhart
Scandella–Ristolainen9:500.22–0.423:540.00–0.020:480.02–0.001:100.00–0.000:340.00–0.004:190.00–0.215:040.00–0.106:230.20–0.050:540.00–0.06
McCabe–Dahlin1:570.01–0.084:340.14–0.102:500.23–0.281:120.02–0.001:290.04–0.010:560.00–0.044:320.14–0.314:140.25–0.123:050.04–0.070:550.00–0.01
Beaulieu–Nelson0:460.07–0.003:410.10–0.091:290.08–0.012:370.00–0.031:240.02–0.154:030.02–0.113:070.02–0.052:140.15–0.000:350.00–0.150:590.07–0.00
McCabe–Nelson0:310.00–0.000:560.04–0.000:340.00–0.00
Beaulieu–Dahlin0:380.00–0.140:520.01–0.00
Ristolainen–Nelson0:320.00–0.000:420.00–0.19
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEichel FReinhart FSheary FBerglund FOkposo FSkinner FMittelstadt FThompson FPominville FRodrigues FGirgensons FElie FScandella DRistolainen DMcCabe DDahlin DBeaulieu DNelson DHutton GSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FStastny FHaula FPacioretty FBellemare FNosek FLindberg FCarpenter FReaves FCarrier FEngelland DTheodore DMcNabb DMiller DMerrill DHolden DFleury G
BUFVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2625:400:591:5334
Colin MillerVGK2324:091:033:1341
Marco ScandellaBUF2422:200:561:4904
Shea TheodoreVGK2221:440:592:4530
Jake McCabeBUF2519:430:472:4414
Paul StastnyVGK1919:401:021:4342
Brayden McNabbVGK2219:390:541:3522
Sam ReinhartBUF2219:280:531:2812
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2119:220:551:3140
William KarlssonVGK2219:120:521:2940
Jack EichelBUF2219:110:521:4513
Reilly SmithVGK2219:030:521:2030
Rasmus DahlinBUF2318:370:493:1911
Max PaciorettyVGK1918:330:591:2832
Jeff SkinnerBUF2018:240:553:2123
Erik HaulaVGK1918:090:571:4242
Kyle OkposoBUF2218:000:491:4832
Casey NelsonBUF2117:280:501:5202
Evan RodriguesBUF2417:130:431:0809
Deryk EngellandVGK2117:130:491:1322
Patrik BerglundBUF2217:000:461:4924
Jon MerrillVGK2016:560:511:2911
Nick HoldenVGK1816:250:551:2901
Conor ShearyBUF2215:120:411:1420
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1914:530:471:0806
Nathan BeaulieuBUF1814:040:471:2300
Tomas NosekVGK1613:560:521:2512
Oscar LindbergVGK1613:220:501:0920
Ryan CarpenterVGK1412:510:551:4700
Casey MittelstadtBUF1610:340:401:5600
Jason PominvilleBUF1410:240:451:0801
Ryan ReavesVGK129:520:491:1600
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK149:450:420:5912
Remi ElieBUF169:220:350:5700
William CarrierVGK129:140:461:1330
Tage ThompsonBUF158:270:341:0800