Thu, Oct 11, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 6, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 56% of the time.
35%
8%
9%
47%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:38 | 0.02 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.00 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.08 | 47.1% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:20 | 0.33 | 34.0% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 17:19 | 0.48 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.18 | 34.0% | +25.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.59 | 78.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.12 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.02 | 56.5% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.05 | 66.0% | +9.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:24 | 0.22 | 64.6% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.05 | 33.8% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:47 | 0.34 | 76.2% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.16 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10:36 | 0.59 | 76.5% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:02 | 0.02 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.96 | +2.0 | 59:53 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 27:07 | 0.12 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:00 | 0.40 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.43 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:03 | 0.25 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.22 | 52.1% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.01 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.06 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.49 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.15 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.12 | 65.9% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:10 | 0.17 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.01 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.22 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.16 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.10 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:02 | 0.03 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 24 | 6 | .800 | 3.25 | −2.7 | 60:00 |