Tue, Oct 30, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 59% of the time.
32%
9%
10%
49%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 25:00 | 0.03 | 64.8% | +46.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:14 | 0.48 | 65.3% | +49.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 22:09 | 0.37 | 67.0% | +46.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 22:04 | 0.78 | 67.0% | +96.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:20 | 0.11 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.05 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:16 | 0.37 | 70.4% | +49.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.07 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.04 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.04 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.08 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.11 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.01 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:50 | 0.06 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:06 | 0.14 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:36 | 0.01 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.30 | +1.3 | 61:07 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 25:48 | 0.15 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:19 | 0.07 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:47 | 0.02 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.14 | 58.5% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 | 0.00 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.39 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.11 | 64.8% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.07 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.03 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.02 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:01 | 0.08 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:59 | 0.42 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:58 | 0.42 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.12 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.13 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.09 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:34 | 0.04 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 2.75 | +0.7 | 62:40 |