Thu, Nov 15, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
33%
8%
10%
48%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:32 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:20 | 0.10 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.40 | 48.1% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18:43 | 0.22 | 53.6% | +54.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.05 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.24 | 47.4% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:46 | 0.13 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 43.8% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.93 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.04 | 57.9% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.04 | 6.8% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | −1 | 4 | 15:33 | 0.78 | 32.6% | +54.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.08 | 40.6% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.01 | 53.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:07 | 0.12 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.73 | −0.3 | 59:56 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:52 | 0.05 | 49.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 24:26 | 0.29 | 50.2% | +34.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23:00 | 0.38 | 47.0% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:26 | 0.25 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 19:37 | 0.63 | 58.1% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.05 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.10 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.01 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.05 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:39 | 0.36 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:56 | 0.32 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.11 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.12 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:32 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.40 | −1.6 | 57:20 |