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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 15, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Joseph–CirelliStamkos–Kucherov–MillerJohnson–Gourde–PointCallahan–Paquette–ErneMcDonagh–CernakCoburn–SergachevGirardi–HedmanGirardi–McDonaghHedman–SergachevCoburn–Girardi
Malkin–Hornqvist–Pearson2:280.01–0.142:310.08–0.063:180.16–0.001:340.04–0.005:250.25–0.001:500.04–0.002:340.00–0.06
Kessel–Grant–Guentzel1:510.05–0.001:320.00–0.161:400.00–0.000:520.15–0.001:210.00–0.002:320.00–0.170:520.05–0.001:040.00–0.00
Cullen–Wilson–Aston-Reese1:280.12–0.001:020.00–0.081:100.02–0.041:000.00–0.010:400.00–0.001:490.00–0.102:020.14–0.04
Kessel–Sheahan–Guentzel1:010.09–0.001:320.08–0.131:300.02–0.001:310.11–0.001:220.00–0.021:020.08–0.110:430.00–0.00
Sheahan–Rust–Simon2:020.04–0.050:460.06–0.000:370.00–0.001:490.10–0.001:030.00–0.05
Grant–Rust–Simon0:510.08–0.001:020.00–0.020:570.00–0.121:170.08–0.001:080.00–0.120:340.00–0.02
Malkin–Kessel–Guentzel0:410.00–0.040:470.02–0.020:530.00–0.040:490.02–0.02
Oleksiak–Maatta3:130.12–0.144:170.13–0.281:090.18–0.002:280.19–0.004:040.33–0.004:400.12–0.260:480.02–0.000:420.00–0.02
Johnson–Letang3:310.08–0.001:560.00–0.062:500.00–0.042:000.02–0.045:060.03–0.002:420.00–0.013:050.00–0.13
Dumoulin–Ruhwedel1:300.05–0.042:560.36–0.113:050.00–0.121:300.00–0.002:360.07–0.042:280.22–0.014:320.13–0.230:400.00–0.00
Letang–Dumoulin1:420.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Johnson–Ruhwedel1:360.12–0.091:100.12–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPearson FMalkin FHornqvist FSheahan FGuentzel FKessel FRust FGrant FSimon FCullen FWilson FAston-Reese FLetang DJohnson DRuhwedel DDumoulin DMaatta DOleksiak DMurray GJohnson FPoint FGourde FMiller FKucherov FStamkos FKillorn FErne FPaquette FCallahan FJoseph FCirelli FMcDonagh DCernak DGirardi DHedman DSergachev DCoburn DDomingue G
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2625:521:002:3574
Evgeni MalkinPIT2624:260:562:4370
Ryan McDonaghTBL2523:320:562:0526
Phil KesselPIT2323:001:002:4381
Jake GuentzelPIT2321:260:562:2361
Victor HedmanTBL2621:200:492:3033
Steven StamkosTBL2319:410:511:3753
Patric HornqvistPIT2319:370:512:1260
Jack JohnsonPIT2619:110:441:3825
Nikita KucherovTBL2118:430:532:1741
Brian DumoulinPIT2518:390:451:2632
Olli MaattaPIT2518:210:441:1544
Dan GirardiTBL2418:060:451:4407
J.T. MillerTBL2016:460:501:3741
Braydon CoburnTBL2416:460:421:2222
Alex KillornTBL2316:230:431:1822
Anthony CirelliTBL2216:210:451:2835
Derek GrantPIT2016:190:491:1551
Mikhail SergachevTBL2616:030:371:1933
Erik CernakTBL2515:380:381:1834
Chad RuhwedelPIT2215:330:421:2210
Brayden PointTBL2215:330:422:0365
Jamie OleksiakPIT2114:380:421:0741
Yanni GourdeTBL2113:460:391:5335
Tanner PearsonPIT2113:430:391:1831
Tyler JohnsonTBL2213:370:371:0756
Ryan CallahanTBL2113:300:391:0624
Bryan RustPIT2112:390:361:1012
Mathieu JosephTBL1812:380:421:2822
Riley SheahanPIT1711:560:421:0411
Cedric PaquetteTBL2011:420:351:0224
Adam ErneTBL1711:070:391:0211
Dominik SimonPIT1410:470:461:1710
Zachary Aston-ReesePIT1810:090:341:2618
Matt CullenPIT189:210:311:2609
Garrett WilsonPIT146:320:280:5415