Sat, Dec 15, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.
39%
8%
46%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 31:43 | 0.42 | 21.0% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29:03 | 0.11 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24:19 | 0.44 | 61.0% | +59.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:33 | 0.13 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:55 | 0.48 | 41.0% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.23 | 35.9% | +39.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.30 | 37.7% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.06 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.06 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:16 | 0.19 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.18 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:11 | 0.85 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.05 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:53 | 0.26 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:47 | 0.03 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 3.58 | +0.6 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 29:11 | 0.13 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 25:34 | 0.51 | 76.6% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:52 | 0.00 | 36.3% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:18 | 0.03 | 76.4% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:25 | 0.73 | 66.7% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.67 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.07 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.05 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.12 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.26 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.06 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:16 | 0.36 | 66.5% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:39 | 0.35 | 60.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.13 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 58.3% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:57 | 0.05 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.07 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.78 | +0.8 | 65:00 |