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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 15, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Reinhart–EichelPominville–Sobotka–ThompsonOkposo–Sheary–MittelstadtLarsson–Girgensons–RodriguesBogosian–DahlinScandella–RistolainenBogosian–ScandellaBeaulieu–TennysonBogosian–RistolainenTennyson–RistolainenScandella–TennysonRistolainen–DahlinTennyson–Dahlin
Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom1:040.06–0.005:510.42–0.102:320.10–0.003:460.01–0.003:230.06–0.006:010.52–0.032:420.09–0.101:150.00–0.00
Kuznetsov–Wilson–Vrana8:000.72–0.431:110.08–0.013:090.10–0.072:290.35–0.001:000.16–0.041:120.07–0.260:480.00–0.010:480.10–0.06
Eller–Smith-Pelly–Connolly0:540.00–0.003:350.14–0.223:390.22–0.093:310.01–0.153:010.13–0.001:050.07–0.160:460.16–0.00
Dowd–Boyd–Stephenson1:320.00–0.002:350.12–0.162:050.07–0.142:190.00–0.170:340.12–0.000:450.00–0.251:030.07–0.001:170.00–0.000:450.01–0.00
Carlson–Kempny7:430.58–0.402:110.38–0.001:240.10–0.001:220.17–0.003:580.07–0.085:340.80–0.000:510.24–0.001:560.07–0.260:570.08–0.06
Niskanen–Orlov1:580.04–0.003:030.15–0.233:270.00–0.301:460.01–0.064:090.05–0.212:410.20–0.002:040.03–0.260:450.00–0.250:490.00–0.000:580.01–0.00
Bowey–Siegenthaler2:120.00–0.030:570.09–0.001:140.00–0.001:320.00–0.031:030.00–0.031:100.02–0.000:360.00–0.000:580.07–0.00
Niskanen–Siegenthaler1:390.21–0.111:390.04–0.001:000.01–0.001:160.10–0.070:430.05–0.000:300.08–0.040:410.00–0.00
Orlov–Bowey1:110.00–0.001:390.05–0.000:570.00–0.001:340.00–0.00
Bowey–Kempny0:560.05–0.001:010.12–0.000:450.00–0.021:070.12–0.00
Carlson–Siegenthaler0:310.00–0.000:380.00–0.061:180.00–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndVrana FWilson FKuznetsov FOshie FStephenson FSmith-Pelly FEller FDowd FOvechkin FBackstrom FConnolly FBoyd FKempny DCarlson DNiskanen DOrlov DSiegenthaler DBowey DCopley GEichel FReinhart FSkinner FOkposo FMittelstadt FSheary FRodrigues FSobotka FPominville FThompson FLarsson FGirgensons FScandella DRistolainen DBogosian DDahlin DBeaulieu DTennyson DHutton G
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3231:430:592:3715
John CarlsonWSH2729:111:052:3445
Zach BogosianBUF2929:031:002:5033
Alex OvechkinWSH2325:341:072:4570
Rasmus DahlinBUF3124:190:471:3245
Marco ScandellaBUF3023:330:471:1625
Dmitry OrlovWSH2222:521:021:5141
Nicklas BackstromWSH2222:181:012:4580
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1921:251:082:1222
Jack EichelBUF2420:550:521:4331
T.J. OshieWSH2220:380:562:0470
Matt NiskanenWSH2220:370:561:4312
Michal KempnyWSH2018:300:561:4013
Sam ReinhartBUF2217:410:481:1761
Lars EllerWSH2016:470:501:2133
Jeff SkinnerBUF2016:170:491:2441
Tom WilsonWSH1915:270:491:3603
Casey MittelstadtBUF1815:230:511:1322
Conor ShearyBUF1814:540:501:1320
Vladimir SobotkaBUF1914:390:461:1912
Jonas SiegenthalerWSH2114:200:411:3422
Jakub VranaWSH1914:160:451:2912
Evan RodriguesBUF2014:160:431:4044
Tage ThompsonBUF1714:150:501:1911
Kyle OkposoBUF1614:110:531:2622
Johan LarssonBUF1813:470:461:2818
Brett ConnollyWSH1513:390:551:2131
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1813:180:441:1717
Madison BoweyWSH1612:140:461:2240
Jason PominvilleBUF1411:530:511:1911
Devante Smith-PellyWSH1410:520:471:2122
Nic DowdWSH1210:070:511:2620
Chandler StephensonWSH139:570:461:2621
Travis BoydWSH119:300:521:1920
Matt TennysonBUF159:060:361:0202
Nathan BeaulieuBUF85:470:431:0120