Sat, Dec 29, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
10%
42%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:41 | 0.09 | 34.9% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:45 | 0.26 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.04 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.10 | 80.7% | +57.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.05 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.26 | 56.9% | +41.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.36 | 66.3% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.06 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:19 | 0.47 | 54.8% | +41.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.02 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.05 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.31 | 50.4% | +23.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.09 | 59.0% | +23.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.02 | 69.2% | +34.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 13:51 | 0.26 | 55.6% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.04 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:06 | 0.12 | 34.7% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:53 | 0.01 | 17.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 26 | 6 | .813 | 2.47 | −3.5 | 59:07 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:30 | 0.03 | 46.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:13 | 0.21 | 69.0% | +52.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:06 | 0.33 | 59.5% | +43.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.25 | 62.6% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:30 | 0.09 | 69.0% | +50.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:32 | 0.13 | 55.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.02 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.14 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.01 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.15 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.10 | 58.8% | +64.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.09 | 32.9% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.25 | 61.0% | +49.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.01 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.08 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 3 | 10:47 | 0.41 | 84.4% | +95.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:17 | 0.18 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 6:54 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 2.61 | −2.4 | 60:00 |