Thu, Jan 17, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
32%
9%
52%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:54 | 0.00 | 82.0% | +25.9 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:49 | 0.03 | 79.2% | 0.0 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:34 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.08 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:11 | 0.27 | 86.7% | +23.6 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.07 | 78.0% | +26.4 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 18:04 | 0.50 | 55.0% | +16.5 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:55 | 0.96 | 78.9% | +2.8 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.40 | 76.3% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.10 | 53.3% | +39.5 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.21 | 59.1% | +39.5 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.13 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Andreas JohnssonLW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:13 | 0.31 | 88.5% | +23.6 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:40 | 0.05 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:28 | 0.38 | 88.8% | 0.0 |
 Igor OzhiganovD · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:00 | 0.01 | 30.2% | 0.0 |
 Par LindholmC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.11 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:00 | 0.00 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 2.99 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:29 | 0.24 | 23.4% | +23.1 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 8 | 25:26 | 0.33 | 28.8% | +38.8 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 24:03 | 0.63 | 18.4% | +38.8 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 10 | 23:04 | 0.89 | 55.2% | +15.7 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.05 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.17 | 37.6% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.07 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Anton StralmanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.02 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.10 | 22.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.12 | 24.7% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.11 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
 Dan GirardiD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.03 | 15.2% | 0.0 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.13 | 20.2% | 0.0 |
 J.T. MillerC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.04 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:26 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan CallahanRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:56 | 0.04 | 56.9% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.85 | −0.1 | 57:57 |