Thu, Jan 17, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
32%
9%
52%
TBL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Johnsson–Marner | Marleau–Kadri–Kapanen | Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | Brown–Gauthier–Lindholm | Hyman–Brown–Matthews | Tavares–Nylander–Matthews | Marleau–Tavares–Marner | Gardiner–Zaitsev | Hainsey–Rielly | Dermott–Ozhiganov | Gardiner–Dermott | Gardiner–Rielly | Gardiner–Ozhiganov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson–Kucherov–Point | 1:300.00–0.08 | 1:490.05–0.27 | 4:420.00–0.08 | 4:130.05–0.12 | 3:370.06–0.47 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Gourde | 2:330.00–0.25 | 2:270.14–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 3:080.10–0.16 | 4:050.01–0.10 | 1:020.03–0.00 | |||||
| Killorn–Erne–Cirelli | 4:310.06–0.14 | 1:460.00–0.10 | 0:440.00–0.06 | 2:540.02–0.15 | 1:440.02–0.02 | 1:230.00–0.05 | 0:300.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Callahan–Miller–Paquette | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:040.02–0.00 | 3:190.00–0.11 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 2:480.00–0.00 | 0:560.06–0.11 | |||||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Kucherov | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:250.03–0.06 | 1:300.00–0.06 | 1:050.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Killorn–Gourde–Point | 0:430.02–0.00 | 0:530.15–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:040.17–0.00 | |||||||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 0:360.00–0.05 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Killorn–Kucherov–Point | 0:430.00–0.40 | 0:430.00–0.40 | 0:340.00–0.12 | ||||||||||
| Callahan–Erne–Cirelli | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.11 | |||||||||||
| Erne–Point–Cirelli | 0:480.00–0.22 | 0:300.00–0.16 | |||||||||||
| Killorn–Miller–Cirelli | |||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 2:590.06–0.09 | 3:040.08–0.27 | 5:420.17–0.15 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:220.10–0.00 | 5:440.11–0.17 | 4:350.15–0.20 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:130.13–0.00 | ||
| Stralman–Sergachev | 1:290.00–0.17 | 4:330.24–0.27 | 2:120.02–0.00 | 2:240.06–0.11 | 1:090.00–0.57 | 2:550.07–0.49 | 5:110.22–0.52 | 2:220.03–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.11 | ||||
| Girardi–Hedman | 6:010.00–0.27 | 2:330.05–0.10 | 1:360.00–0.02 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 4:380.01–0.19 | 4:000.05–0.12 | 2:100.00–0.04 | 0:320.02–0.04 | ||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 0:430.02–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.02 | 0:320.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Stralman–McDonagh | 0:360.00–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 32 | 25:54 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 3 | 8 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 25:29 | 1:04 | 2:35 | 7 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 25:26 | 1:04 | 3:18 | 7 | 4 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 33 | 24:49 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 5 | 5 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 24:03 | 1:03 | 3:18 | 7 | 2 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 31 | 23:34 | 0:46 | 2:13 | 4 | 11 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 23:04 | 1:03 | 2:35 | 9 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 32 | 22:21 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 5 | 8 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 27 | 19:54 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 3 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 21 | 19:36 | 0:56 | 2:01 | 8 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 19:11 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 6 | 6 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 18:41 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 6 | 5 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 30 | 18:04 | 0:36 | 1:29 | 2 | 5 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 25 | 17:55 | 0:43 | 1:49 | 5 | 8 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 24 | 17:38 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 3 | 4 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 17:30 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 7 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 19 | 16:03 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 1 | 5 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 21 | 15:53 | 0:45 | 1:46 | 2 | 1 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 15:41 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 2 | 2 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 23 | 15:29 | 0:40 | 1:34 | 7 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 15:08 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 7 | 5 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 15:03 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 19 | 15:02 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 7 | 2 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 19 | 15:02 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Andreas JohnssonTOR | 17 | 13:13 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 4 | 3 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 14 | 11:21 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 17 | 10:40 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 19 | 10:28 | 0:33 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 J.T. MillerTBL | 14 | 10:06 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 3 | 0 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 15 | 9:50 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 3 | 2 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 15 | 9:26 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Igor OzhiganovTOR | 14 | 9:00 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Par LindholmTOR | 18 | 8:44 | 0:29 | 1:08 | 0 | 6 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 11 | 7:56 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 2 | 0 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 11 | 6:00 | 0:33 | 1:08 | 0 | 1 |