Wed, Jan 30, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
42%
9%
11%
38%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 24:57 | 0.07 | 42.1% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:29 | 0.15 | 52.6% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:14 | 0.42 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.02 | 42.7% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.06 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.09 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.12 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.05 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.36 | 47.5% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.08 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.28 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.13 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:06 | 0.21 | 59.4% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:04 | 0.14 | 73.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.08 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:08 | 0.05 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.02 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.41 | −1.6 | 58:26 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 27:28 | 0.28 | 35.4% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.45 | 67.6% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:33 | 0.32 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:18 | 0.00 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:52 | 0.19 | 47.9% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.34 | 68.1% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.06 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.05 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.10 | 53.5% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.06 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.17 | 53.4% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.02 | 6.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.08 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:43 | 0.27 | 47.9% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:22 | 0.00 | 89.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 6:00 | 0.03 | 86.4% | +14.2 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.34 | +0.3 | 60:00 |