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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 30, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johnson–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Miller–CirelliStamkos–Palat–GourdePaquette–Erne–JosephStamkos–Palat–KucherovMcDonagh–CernakGirardi–HedmanStralman–SergachevCernak–SergachevStralman–HedmanGirardi–McDonagh
Crosby–Guentzel–Simon7:020.25–0.221:070.00–0.003:390.12–0.021:060.00–0.065:330.26–0.155:180.09–0.031:110.03–0.000:380.00–0.09
Malkin–Kessel–Rust4:210.13–0.241:160.00–0.002:120.21–0.082:050.00–0.030:430.00–0.003:450.21–0.145:070.13–0.250:340.00–0.000:410.17–0.00
Cullen–Hornqvist–Pearson1:470.00–0.184:240.06–0.134:540.06–0.311:170.00–0.130:490.00–0.07
Wilson–Sheahan–Blueger0:450.00–0.003:030.06–0.040:370.00–0.002:400.06–0.041:510.02–0.00
Cullen–Hornqvist–Sheahan0:300.00–0.220:540.00–0.001:290.00–0.30
Cullen–Kessel–Rust1:150.02–0.000:350.00–0.060:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.06
Letang–Dumoulin10:120.18–0.461:390.00–0.072:180.00–0.301:030.00–0.000:410.00–0.066:060.04–0.304:430.01–0.135:210.13–0.430:500.25–0.09
Johnson–Pettersson2:320.03–0.003:310.08–0.213:140.10–0.002:040.00–0.004:390.14–0.114:540.05–0.042:060.03–0.06
Maatta–Riikola0:470.17–0.123:240.06–0.091:500.00–0.003:350.12–0.193:140.22–0.142:310.13–0.035:250.03–0.260:390.17–0.02
Letang–Pettersson0:370.00–0.130:490.00–0.001:220.00–0.13
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSimon FGuentzel FCrosby FRust FMalkin FKessel FCullen FPearson FHornqvist FWilson FSheahan FBlueger FDumoulin DLetang DJohnson DPettersson DMaatta DRiikola DMurray GJohnson FPoint FKucherov FMiller FKillorn FCirelli FPalat FGourde FStamkos FJoseph FPaquette FErne FMcDonagh DCernak DGirardi DHedman DStralman DSergachev DVasilevskiy G
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2927:280:572:0424
Victor HedmanTBL2624:570:582:1955
Nikita KucherovTBL2522:290:541:5350
Brayden PointTBL2422:140:561:5360
Sidney CrosbyPIT2622:000:511:3163
Jake GuentzelPIT2521:330:521:2853
Brian DumoulinPIT2721:180:471:2804
Ryan McDonaghTBL2620:350:481:2144
Phil KesselPIT2419:520:501:3140
Erik CernakTBL2518:520:451:2133
Tyler JohnsonTBL2318:180:481:1930
Dominik SimonPIT2318:160:481:2842
Marcus PetterssonPIT2618:160:421:2462
Dan GirardiTBL2118:030:521:1813
Olli MaattaPIT2617:550:411:2731
Anton StralmanTBL2317:360:461:2421
Jack JohnsonPIT2417:290:441:2731
Steven StamkosTBL1917:100:542:1974
Evgeni MalkinPIT2216:580:461:3130
Mikhail SergachevTBL2216:320:451:1121
Juuso RiikolaPIT2216:090:441:2740
Bryan RustPIT2416:030:401:1113
Ondrej PalatTBL1815:070:501:4761
Matt CullenPIT2114:530:431:3214
Patric HornqvistPIT1814:250:482:1022
Anthony CirelliTBL2214:250:391:0526
Yanni GourdeTBL1914:080:451:2442
Alex KillornTBL2012:060:361:0623
Tanner PearsonPIT1912:050:381:3220
J.T. MillerTBL1711:040:391:1222
Cedric PaquetteTBL1710:290:371:0903
Mathieu JosephTBL1810:080:341:0802
Adam ErneTBL149:210:401:1703
Riley SheahanPIT148:430:371:1914
Teddy BluegerPIT106:220:380:5410
Garrett WilsonPIT96:000:400:5410