Fri, Feb 1, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Chicago Blackhawks 7, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
45%
8%
10%
37%
BUF winsCHI wins
Chicago Blackhawks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.34 | 60.9% | +8.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 21:37 | 0.78 | 47.0% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.42 | 38.5% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:52 | 0.06 | 66.6% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.06 | 35.5% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 19:14 | 0.09 | 49.6% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.09 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.28 | 36.6% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 52.0% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.05 | 89.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.20 | 73.6% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.21 | 78.0% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.07 | 65.8% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.15 | 73.6% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:21 | 0.12 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.05 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:58 | 0.02 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 3.23 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 24:31 | 0.16 | 42.3% | +6.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:36 | 0.11 | 40.2% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.07 | 38.5% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:52 | 0.02 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 10 | 20:59 | 0.93 | 35.1% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.17 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.37 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.04 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.39 | 39.3% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.00 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.03 | 34.7% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.08 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 14:40 | 0.10 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:34 | 0.33 | 91.4% | +5.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 10:56 | 0.31 | 12.0% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:48 | 0.00 | 4.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:31 | 0.11 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 4.6% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 0.39 | −1.6 | 19:22 | |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.92 | −2.1 | 40:00 |