Sat, Feb 9, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 55% of the time.
36%
10%
12%
42%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 26:33 | 0.09 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.03 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:37 | 0.33 | 56.3% | +8.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:34 | 0.46 | 44.9% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 54.3% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:02 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.04 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.11 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.02 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:16 | 0.21 | 23.9% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.16 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.15 | 51.2% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.04 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.02 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:42 | 0.16 | 56.8% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:18 | 0.17 | 55.0% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:55 | 0.04 | 56.3% | +18.9 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 1.83 | −3.2 | 58:25 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 22:50 | 0.15 | 43.3% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.02 | 68.3% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.08 | 63.9% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.11 | 35.5% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 19:49 | 0.06 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.00 | 36.3% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.09 | 45.5% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.03 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.07 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.03 | 60.3% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.12 | 49.8% | +30.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.21 | 63.6% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.08 | 50.3% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.11 | 67.4% | +24.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:05 | 0.08 | 66.1% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.03 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0.44 | 77.9% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:32 | 0.11 | 54.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 2.03 | −2.0 | 60:00 |