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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 9, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Crosby–Rust–GuentzelKessel–Bjugstad–PearsonHornqvist–McCann–SimonCullen–Wilson–BluegerCrosby–Kessel–RustPearson–McCann–SimonLetang–PetterssonMaatta–RiikolaJohnson–DumoulinLetang–Dumoulin
Johnson–Gourde–Point7:330.27–0.190:300.00–0.006:290.24–0.121:410.04–0.000:480.01–0.07
Stamkos–Palat–Kucherov3:230.07–0.152:220.08–0.111:270.06–0.131:520.00–0.104:160.12–0.212:120.09–0.09
Killorn–Miller–Cirelli2:310.24–0.172:170.11–0.002:430.16–0.020:340.00–0.002:560.38–0.172:590.23–0.002:230.00–0.00
Paquette–Erne–Joseph1:540.00–0.091:030.02–0.022:010.08–0.022:400.14–0.062:240.00–0.152:430.10–0.042:470.16–0.00
Kucherov–Gourde–Point1:230.00–0.071:520.00–0.000:540.00–0.003:080.00–0.182:160.00–0.00
Stamkos–Johnson–Palat2:240.09–0.040:330.00–0.000:320.08–0.000:450.01–0.000:320.04–0.021:180.01–0.002:220.13–0.04
McDonagh–Cernak6:580.07–0.112:410.09–0.033:340.10–0.080:510.03–0.000:440.08–0.008:560.27–0.216:030.16–0.001:100.00–0.02
Coburn–Sergachev0:590.00–0.025:480.09–0.063:010.09–0.003:410.18–0.230:450.01–0.001:500.07–0.005:270.09–0.207:220.29–0.101:110.00–0.00
Girardi–Hedman6:060.45–0.432:190.07–0.132:400.16–0.021:030.07–0.070:460.00–0.007:390.43–0.593:520.21–0.223:130.09–0.10
Hedman–Cernak0:570.00–0.020:420.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPoint FGourde FPalat FKucherov FStamkos FMiller FKillorn FCirelli FPaquette FErne FJoseph FMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DGirardi DCoburn DSergachev DVasilevskiy GRust FGuentzel FCrosby FBjugstad FPearson FKessel FSimon FMcCann FHornqvist FCullen FBlueger FWilson FPettersson DLetang DDumoulin DJohnson DMaatta DRiikola DDeSmith G
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT3226:330:501:5571
Marcus PetterssonPIT3222:570:431:3762
Victor HedmanTBL2922:500:472:1295
Sidney CrosbyPIT3222:370:421:5565
Ryan McDonaghTBL2722:320:501:4735
Erik CernakTBL2621:310:501:2224
Bryan RustPIT3220:340:391:0885
Jake GuentzelPIT2820:150:431:3574
Juuso RiikolaPIT3020:020:401:3732
Yanni GourdeTBL2719:550:441:4157
Nikita KucherovTBL2819:490:421:2767
Olli MaattaPIT2819:100:411:3753
Brayden PointTBL2618:480:431:4367
Steven StamkosTBL2518:260:441:2466
Dan GirardiTBL2718:230:411:2376
Mikhail SergachevTBL2217:420:481:2531
Phil KesselPIT2417:050:431:3391
Braydon CoburnTBL2117:020:491:2533
Ondrej PalatTBL2616:560:391:0355
Tyler JohnsonTBL2616:450:391:0356
Brian DumoulinPIT2716:430:371:0637
Dominik SimonPIT2716:280:371:3724
Jared McCannPIT2716:160:361:3717
Nick BjugstadPIT2214:510:411:1261
Tanner PearsonPIT2314:280:381:1261
Jack JohnsonPIT2414:120:360:5537
Patric HornqvistPIT2313:290:351:3725
Cedric PaquetteTBL2012:360:381:1633
Anthony CirelliTBL2011:290:341:1934
J.T. MillerTBL1611:050:421:1632
Mathieu JosephTBL1710:290:371:1031
Alex KillornTBL1510:100:411:1633
Adam ErneTBL169:320:361:1031
Garrett WilsonPIT147:420:331:0205
Matt CullenPIT177:180:260:5518
Teddy BluegerPIT136:550:320:5505