Tue, Feb 26, 2019·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 2, Washington Capitals 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 90% of the time.
87%
WSH winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Paajarvi–Lindberg–Gibbons | Ryan–Smith–Pageau | Duclair–White–Tkachuk | Smith–Pageau–Tierney | Tierney–Duclair–Tkachuk | Boedker–Pageau–Tierney | Ryan–Boedker–Pageau | Ryan–Boedker–White | Boedker–Paajarvi–Tierney | Borowiecki–Jaros | Ceci–Chabot | DeMelo–Harpur | Ceci–Harpur | DeMelo–Chabot | DeMelo–Wolanin | Ceci–Wolanin | Harpur–Wolanin | Chabot–Wolanin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshie–Backstrom–Vrana | 3:120.02–0.05 | 0:590.04–0.00 | 3:050.27–0.07 | 0:420.09–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:060.10–0.00 | 0:480.07–0.00 | 3:030.29–0.07 | 1:430.00–0.01 | 3:080.22–0.04 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 1:580.39–0.06 | 0:470.14–0.08 | 1:180.00–0.00 | ||||
| Eller–Connolly–Burakovsky | 1:460.00–0.40 | 1:310.40–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.07 | 2:010.07–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 2:380.04–0.09 | 1:590.31–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.42 | 0:310.04–0.00 | 2:350.22–0.00 | 2:160.19–0.03 | |||||
| Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson | 2:050.00–0.00 | 4:020.49–0.11 | 1:340.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:430.24–0.00 | 5:200.74–0.10 | 1:170.09–0.00 | 2:100.18–0.14 | 2:140.05–0.03 | |||||||||
| Hagelin–Dowd–Boyd | 3:390.08–0.13 | 1:160.00–0.01 | 1:150.13–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 1:170.02–0.00 | 2:230.00–0.13 | 1:340.08–0.00 | 2:440.24–0.01 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Ovechkin–Dowd–Wilson | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Niskanen–Orlov | 4:440.08–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.01 | 2:230.15–0.00 | 2:110.05–0.01 | 1:040.21–0.06 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 1:260.10–0.00 | 4:250.39–0.06 | 1:530.00–0.00 | 2:060.00–0.00 | 3:370.08–0.01 | 1:110.13–0.00 | 1:260.15–0.00 | 1:020.09–0.05 | 1:560.03–0.01 | |||
| Carlson–Kempny | 4:100.00–0.55 | 3:160.81–0.04 | 2:030.15–0.00 | 1:210.02–0.00 | 0:450.07–0.00 | 0:430.24–0.00 | 4:460.69–0.06 | 5:480.47–0.16 | 1:580.22–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.40 | 1:430.28–0.00 | 1:070.02–0.00 | 1:230.09–0.00 | |||||
| Orpik–Jensen | 1:570.00–0.00 | 4:030.13–0.07 | 3:520.35–0.13 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 4:550.02–0.14 | 1:540.08–0.02 | 2:590.36–0.14 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 2:440.26–0.06 | 0:380.14–0.06 | 1:160.00–0.00 | |||||
| Orlov–Jensen | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jensen–Kempny | 0:310.08–0.00 | 0:310.08–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cody CeciOTT | 27 | 21:47 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 2 | 5 |
 Matt NiskanenWSH | 22 | 20:48 | 0:57 | 1:54 | 3 | 3 |
 Michal KempnyWSH | 20 | 20:41 | 1:02 | 1:44 | 2 | 2 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 20 | 20:05 | 1:00 | 1:54 | 3 | 2 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 20 | 20:01 | 1:00 | 2:03 | 2 | 0 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 22 | 20:01 | 0:55 | 1:20 | 5 | 2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 24 | 20:00 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 24 | 19:08 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Ben HarpurOTT | 26 | 18:46 | 0:43 | 1:46 | 3 | 2 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 18:45 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 2 | 4 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 24 | 18:09 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 4 | 5 |
 Brooks OrpikWSH | 21 | 17:46 | 0:51 | 1:43 | 2 | 1 |
 Dylan DeMeloOTT | 24 | 17:02 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 4 | 1 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 18 | 16:37 | 0:55 | 1:25 | 4 | 4 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 19 | 16:35 | 0:52 | 1:58 | 1 | 1 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 18 | 16:31 | 0:55 | 1:34 | 3 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 23 | 16:30 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 1 | 4 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 22 | 16:09 | 0:44 | 1:04 | 2 | 1 |
 Jakub VranaWSH | 18 | 16:04 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 22 | 16:03 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 16:02 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 6 | 0 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 20 | 15:58 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 4 | 0 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 19 | 15:47 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 3 | 2 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 25 | 15:42 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 0 | 5 |
 Christian JarosOTT | 25 | 15:36 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 2 | 5 |
 Anthony DuclairOTT | 23 | 15:35 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Brett ConnollyWSH | 18 | 14:57 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 2 | 0 |
 Andre BurakovskyWSH | 17 | 14:38 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 2 | 0 |
 Oscar LindbergOTT | 20 | 14:33 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 3 | 2 |
 Mikkel BoedkerOTT | 18 | 13:57 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Brian GibbonsOTT | 19 | 13:54 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 3 | 1 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 19 | 13:38 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 5 | 0 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 16 | 13:01 | 0:49 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Carl HagelinWSH | 16 | 12:37 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Travis BoydWSH | 15 | 12:12 | 0:49 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Christian WolaninOTT | 15 | 11:59 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 4 | 2 |