Thu, Mar 21, 2019·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Carolina Hurricanes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.
26%
8%
59%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 26:21 | 0.23 | 53.6% | +78.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 23:54 | 0.41 | 47.0% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:47 | 0.53 | 46.3% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.34 | 44.0% | +24.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:44 | 0.31 | 38.8% | +53.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.36 | 64.2% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.06 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.34 | 35.1% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.01 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:55 | 0.42 | 73.8% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.41 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.04 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.38 | 38.8% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.01 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.04 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 4:01 | 0.10 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.97 | 0.0 | 59:53 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:50 | 0.00 | 47.8% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.25 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:36 | 0.14 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.27 | 69.7% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.03 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:26 | 0.47 | 60.9% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.19 | 64.5% | +21.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.41 | 47.4% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.20 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.35 | 48.3% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.33 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.08 | 59.6% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.07 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.01 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.07 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.08 | 14.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 3.57 | −1.4 | 58:43 |