Thu, Mar 21, 2019·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Ottawa Senators 1, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 80% of the time.
74%
13%
CGY winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 26:23 | 0.13 | 32.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.08 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.04 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.08 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:23 | 0.03 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.02 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.02 | 13.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.21 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.02 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 16:01 | 0.56 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.13 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.08 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.09 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.29 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.09 | 25.7% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.03 | 22.7% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.02 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 31 | 5 | .861 | 3.85 | −1.1 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:08 | 0.12 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.17 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 20:47 | 0.46 | 64.8% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.07 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:23 | 0.44 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.28 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:32 | 0.99 | 80.9% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.05 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.12 | 86.7% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 15:46 | 0.39 | 78.4% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.08 | 63.1% | +30.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:05 | 0.33 | 62.9% | +30.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 11:30 | 0.22 | 61.0% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:17 | 0.03 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:12 | 0.10 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 1.89 | +0.9 | 59:24 |