Sat, Mar 23, 2019·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 4, Montréal Canadiens 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 84% of the time.
79%
10%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:43 | 0.18 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.02 | 31.2% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.27 | 22.4% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.03 | 9.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.05 | 46.1% | +18.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.06 | 27.6% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.05 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.02 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.20 | 36.1% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 16:05 | 0.37 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.04 | 6.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.15 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.07 | 27.9% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 16.4% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.06 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.04 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.07 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.00 | 22.4% | +18.7 |
| L | 43 | 37 | 6 | .860 | 3.37 | −2.6 | 59:55 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 22:45 | 0.13 | 73.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.10 | 64.8% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.06 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.11 | 49.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.00 | 94.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.27 | 52.7% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.07 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.11 | 77.1% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.14 | 82.4% | +22.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 15:31 | 0.76 | 83.8% | +35.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.32 | 69.9% | +26.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.60 | 82.9% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.07 | 67.4% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 14:34 | 0.31 | 77.5% | +44.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:29 | 0.19 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:27 | 0.67 | 65.7% | +35.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.08 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 1.68 | −2.3 | 60:00 |