Thu, Mar 28, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.
44%
8%
9%
39%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:13 | 0.02 | 34.8% | +46.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 12 | 22:59 | 0.84 | 41.4% | +40.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:29 | 0.02 | 34.6% | +29.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:26 | 0.10 | 40.4% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:03 | 0.39 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.18 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.00 | 60.2% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.10 | 42.6% | +62.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 16:58 | 0.72 | 40.2% | +80.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.05 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:24 | 0.11 | 49.3% | +46.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.01 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.08 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.19 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.18 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:28 | 0.02 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:38 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 3.15 | −0.8 | 62:10 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29:14 | 0.14 | 64.1% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:02 | 0.22 | 71.7% | +38.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:40 | 0.17 | 69.9% | +38.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:22 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:52 | 0.47 | 80.8% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.08 | 64.5% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.00 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:25 | 0.55 | 68.3% | +38.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.17 | 62.5% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.16 | 56.4% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:01 | 0.18 | 55.1% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.03 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.08 | 68.9% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:46 | 0.45 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.05 | 46.5% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 11:58 | 0.42 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 3.01 | −2.0 | 62:18 |