Sun, Oct 6, 2019·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 93% of the time.
90%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:37 | 0.06 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.05 | 30.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.13 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.19 | 20.1% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:58 | 0.09 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.03 | 51.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.07 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.02 | 19.0% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.02 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.34 | 51.6% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:13 | 0.02 | 29.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.02 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.13 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:40 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:32 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 44 | 40 | 4 | .909 | 4.39 | +0.4 | 61:53 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25:19 | 0.25 | 69.7% | +48.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:35 | 0.35 | 68.1% | +55.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 0.32 | 71.2% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.04 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.28 | 77.6% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:15 | 0.30 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.28 | 63.2% | +47.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.40 | 71.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.16 | 65.5% | +55.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.07 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.53 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.18 | 63.4% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.05 | 69.6% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.00 | 94.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 0.36 | 95.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:55 | 0.16 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:43 | 0.54 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.12 | 80.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 13 | 10 | 3 | .769 | 1.18 | −1.8 | 61:48 |