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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 6, 2019·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 93% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Palat–KucherovKillorn–Gourde–CirelliJohnson–Verhaeghe–JosephShattenkirk–HedmanMcDonagh–CernakCoburn–SergachevCoburn–ShattenkirkHedman–Sergachev
Niederreiter–Teravainen–Aho2:340.37–0.005:230.16–0.222:200.20–0.133:240.03–0.064:300.37–0.162:560.42–0.13
Staal–McGinn–Svechnikov6:180.48–0.261:100.04–0.001:480.05–0.135:350.06–0.261:530.09–0.001:190.05–0.130:340.00–0.000:310.37–0.00
Haula–Dzingel–Necas1:060.26–0.002:580.03–0.002:330.10–0.213:130.03–0.072:000.08–0.001:420.02–0.13
Martinook–Foegele–Wallmark2:030.05–0.022:070.10–0.001:190.01–0.001:250.01–0.003:490.15–0.02
Hamilton–Slavin3:100.38–0.006:160.10–0.184:460.26–0.135:130.06–0.086:200.28–0.102:070.02–0.13
Edmundson–Pesce8:090.52–0.281:450.04–0.001:180.05–0.134:550.06–0.261:240.14–0.005:210.50–0.150:340.00–0.00
Gardiner–Fleury0:390.27–0.003:370.18–0.051:570.09–0.211:460.00–0.072:440.15–0.051:490.12–0.13
Gardiner–Pesce0:370.08–0.000:520.09–0.000:470.00–0.00
Edmundson–Hamilton0:590.00–0.02
Edmundson–Slavin0:530.06–0.00
Slavin–Pesce0:480.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndFoegele FMartinook FWallmark FStaal FMcGinn FSvechnikov FAho FNiederreiter FTeravainen FDzingel FHaula FNecas FHamilton DSlavin DEdmundson DPesce DFleury DGardiner DMrazek GMaroon FWitkowski FSmith FKillorn FCirelli FPalat FKucherov FStamkos FJoseph FJohnson FVerhaeghe FGourde FMcDonagh DCernak DShattenkirk DHedman DCoburn DSergachev DMcElhinney G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dougie HamiltonCAR3225:190:471:5282
Jaccob SlavinCAR3223:350:441:1463
Ryan McDonaghTBL2822:370:481:2919
Brett PesceCAR3022:110:441:3484
Victor HedmanTBL2622:030:511:5826
Erik CernakTBL3021:350:431:1819
Joel EdmundsonCAR2820:340:441:3654
Nikita KucherovTBL2520:200:491:2568
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2820:140:431:18101
Steven StamkosTBL2620:090:471:2259
Anthony CirelliTBL2519:580:481:2939
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2719:550:441:1516
Alex KillornTBL2519:260:471:1546
Sebastian AhoCAR2619:150:441:4272
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2619:090:441:50122
Mikhail SergachevTBL2518:360:451:2044
Erik HaulaCAR2318:240:481:2352
Ondrej PalatTBL2418:070:451:2247
Tyler JohnsonTBL2517:270:421:4638
Jordan StaalCAR2616:430:391:2194
Yanni GourdeTBL2116:130:461:1544
Braydon CoburnTBL2116:040:461:0925
Jake GardinerCAR2516:020:381:2452
Nino NiederreiterCAR2315:360:411:5071
Brock McGinnCAR2414:150:361:2184
Ryan DzingelCAR1813:510:461:1861
Mathieu JosephTBL2313:310:351:0525
Carter VerhaegheTBL2312:560:341:1345
Jordan MartinookCAR2212:370:341:0342
Warren FoegeleCAR2211:120:311:0341
Martin NecasCAR1510:550:441:0811
Lucas WallmarkCAR1910:430:340:5841
Haydn FleuryCAR2110:330:301:1342
Patrick MaroonTBL128:190:421:5822
Gemel SmithTBL126:400:331:1803
Luke WitkowskiTBL115:320:301:1402